TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Djokovicof Djokovic, Musetti
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$740,459
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$796,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $740,459 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed Djokovic63c100,000$63,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36,899.9766649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Musetti31c49,446$15,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,134.378,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Musetti42c47,062$19,881 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,881.416644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Musetti31c45,022$14,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,073.865630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Musetti27c39,002$10,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,530.5910845.4%49 W · 59 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Djokovic55c22,718$12,499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,218.82147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Djokovic53c16,527$8,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,823.8124544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Djokovic69c12,333$8,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,820.2360055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Musetti28c11,263$3,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,146.174930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Musetti45c10,966$4,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,957.6739144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Musetti34c8,877$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.652,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1420…9daabacked Djokovic60c8,523$5,097 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.6614243%61 W · 81 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa815…a3c3backed Djokovic75c6,847$5,101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,745.8513253.8%71 W · 61 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf353…b287backed Musetti6c6,343$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.868313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Musetti24c6,290$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,44448.8%705 W · 739 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Musetti60c6,250$3,725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,724.995950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Djokovic41c5,810$2,382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,427.761952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Djokovic43c5,796$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,295.514831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Djokovic58c5,180$2,999 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,181.6628952.6%152 W · 137 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…4463backed Musetti18c5,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90027431.8%87 W · 187 L+12.4wins+0.05per pick27cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Musetti30c5,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.9517823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Djokovic58c4,991$2,914 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,076.456,68536.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L-96.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Musetti49c3,815$1,865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,865.1322037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Musetti41c3,811$1,565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,564.8365242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Musetti45c3,744$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Djokovic55c3,684$2,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,655.042,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Djokovic69c3,623$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.199264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9005…d988backed Musetti21c3,618$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.88944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick30cpaid-21.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1993…0c02backed Musetti56c3,582$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Musetti59c3,464$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.6164455.3%356 W · 288 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8a4…9e63backed Djokovic69c3,333$2,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.271241.7%5 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick60cpaid-29.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb9ff…5e00backed Djokovic57c3,327$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,427.091662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+48.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ea…6254backed Musetti30c3,310$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9931526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Musetti53c3,254$1,726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.3422629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Musetti30c3,090$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.7413935.3%49 W · 90 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Djokovic69c3,000$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9307276.4%55 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8406…0176backed Djokovic69c2,899$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.6810654.7%58 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Musetti29c2,536$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.9922344.8%100 W · 123 L+13.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Djokovic67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$824.9944360%266 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Musetti38c2,412$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.392,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Musetti53c2,397$1,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,272.611,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Djokovic40c2,385$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,429.2720653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69e9…dee1backed Djokovic43c2,340$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,339.78977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.8wins+0.32per pick46cpaid+84%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x366c…6578backed Djokovic67c2,322$1,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.593265.6%21 W · 11 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+36.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Musetti59c2,241$1,315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,314.69245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Djokovic66c2,125$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.375547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4fc9…e444backed Djokovic71c2,016$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.531662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+25.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Musetti59c2,000$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,185.994557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7616…69eebacked Musetti25c1,994$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.517057.1%40 W · 30 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce29…b71bbacked Djokovic76c1,992$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.49785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick62cpaid+24.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Djokovic45c1,986$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,092.578530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Musetti26c1,960$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.5711343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Musetti11c1,925$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7565647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ab6…078ebacked Musetti26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007238.9%28 W · 44 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Musetti29c1,850$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Musetti24c1,847$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.261,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Djokovic68c1,796$1,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.88643%37 W · 49 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Musetti32c1,780$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.1711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Musetti19c1,743$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.5614540.7%59 W · 86 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd7ea…dd4ebacked Djokovic69c1,730$1,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$536.3475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+30.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed Djokovic41c1,696$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.641070%7 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick45cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Djokovic48c1,664$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.7510261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Musetti21c1,635$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.631435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fd1…4ea6backed Musetti51c1,619$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.811225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x09ec…f5b5backed Djokovic69c1,500$1,035 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4652665.4%17 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe036…44e6backed Djokovic70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.57666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa47b…a496backed Musetti28c1,404$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Djokovic55c1,395$764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.5619131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x621c…1192backed Djokovic46c1,382$638 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.011747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.7wins+0.22per pick25cpaid+89.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1cb4…a8fcbacked Musetti55c1,304$723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.7410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Djokovic69c1,295$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.451,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Djokovic47c1,277$606 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.615151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ba…e4cbbacked Djokovic71c1,239$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.37475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x132a…abe8backed Djokovic70c1,236$865 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.821421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-60.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Djokovic61c1,200$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4745362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0de0…0884backed Djokovic42c1,192$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.652065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cef…0d49backed Musetti23c1,181$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.2530%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bd2…b69abacked Djokovic64c1,158$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.421540%6 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-28.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Djokovic71c1,135$806 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.2112253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d26…ccb8backed Musetti33c1,079$359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.0313762.8%86 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8309…62b1backed Djokovic54c1,063$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-21.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa8…645bbacked Musetti22c1,045$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.951233.3%4 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-37.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Djokovic53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4707037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Djokovic50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001190.9%10 W · 1 L+3.4wins+0.31per pick60cpaid+45.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x437c…f458backed Musetti55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55012442.7%53 W · 71 L-7.3wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-16.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6c9…bb9ebacked Djokovic66c969.36$641 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.542846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Musetti52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50038348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Djokovic45c938.8$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.7825722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Musetti30c927.42$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed Musetti55c900$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4951250%6 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Musetti20c899.6$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.9615447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti29c873.21$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.9562742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb1c8…1790backed Djokovic66c868.99$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.362030%6 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a1e…86d3backed Musetti31c845.44$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.075046%23 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9ed…617ebacked Musetti34c842.24$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286.366250%31 W · 31 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Musetti37c819.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.346530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0432…1660backed Djokovic42c817.79$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.322050%10 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88ff…fa1bbacked Musetti36c807.5$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.480%0 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f96…3608backed Djokovic70c794.07$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.67450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-17%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9e6e…8d20backed Musetti13c787.11$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.47520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick31cpaid-63.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.