TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x92f1…9b81

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
168
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst MLB at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT12533.6%42 W · 83 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 125 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$62.08
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Raptors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Lakers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$53
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Trail Blazers vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Cavaliers vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Thunder vs. Magicbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$20
Celtics vs. Spursbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Mavericks vs. Hawksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Knicks vs. Clippersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Warriors vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+213.5%+$68.31
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Hornets vs. Sunsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$64
Bulls vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+157.1%+$61.26
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+49.5%+$33.15
Magic vs. Bucksbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$34.15
Lakers vs. Nuggetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$39
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Pistons vs. Spursbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Showing 25 of 125 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST3336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Open Sud de France: Valentin Royer vs Arthur Filsbacked Royer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$532Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$531.77
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+96.1%+$294
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+1,094.2%+$2,822.24
Australian Open Men's: Hubert Hurkacz vs Ethan Quinnbacked Hurkacz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$199.89
Brisbane International, Qualification: Rinky Hijikata vs Filip Misolicbacked Misolic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$204
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+316.7%+$158.33
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,149Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+293.7%+$3,374.78
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+114.2%+$1,152.69
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$650Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$650
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$540
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakinabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tienbacked Tien · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+122.2%+$611.11
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Rolex Paris Masters Men’s Singles Tournamentbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$52.35
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55.2
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Zverev vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Rolex Paris Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Bublikbacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+95.6%+$525.82
Rolex Paris Masters: Daniil Medvedev vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+287.8%+$3,249.53
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$152
Rolex Paris Masters: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,063Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,063
Rolex Paris Masters: Valentin Vacherot vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$200
Rolex Paris Masters: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Alexander Zverevbacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Rolex Paris Masters: Lorenzo Sonego vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Sonego · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Rolex Paris Masters: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Bublikbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$800
Rolex Paris Masters: Ben Shelton vs Andrey Rublevbacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.15
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,050
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.