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Tennis · resolved market

Open de Moselle: Cameron Norrie vs Learner Tien

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Tienof Norrie, Tien
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$264,226
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,051

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $264,226 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 209 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet's whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf353…b287backed Norrie2c14,583$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.988313.3%11 W · 72 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Tien62c13,677$8,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,197.1827163.8%173 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick64cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Norrie41c11,223$4,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,549.2322629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Norrie44c11,144$4,924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,924.1939144.2%173 W · 218 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Tien72c6,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6804557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked Tien61c6,000$3,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,34064955.2%358 W · 291 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Norrie39c5,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9717823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7523…4c4cbacked Norrie40c5,000$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.967545.3%34 W · 41 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8aec…1158backed Tien79c4,017$3,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$854.181435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Norrie45c4,004$1,819 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.0411,92043.3%5,167 W · 6,753 L+24.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Tien44c3,676$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,043.4816644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd16a…7691backed Norrie46c3,409$1,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,569.591952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+28.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Tien61c3,087$1,882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.93850%4 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Norrie25c3,050$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.312,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Norrie42c2,974$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.1265242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Norrie30c2,822$858 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.862,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Norrie38c2,800$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06444125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Norrie38c2,748$1,043 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,043.171,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Norrie8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200382.6%1 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick7cpaid-83.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Norrie39c2,500$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9751,46348.8%714 W · 749 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Norrie39c2,381$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.6522037.7%83 W · 137 L+1.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Norrie75c2,210$1,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,666.5824544.9%110 W · 135 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a53…cc07backed Tien60c2,100$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8403151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3bb…c8acbacked Norrie40c2,100$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8402748.1%13 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tien66c2,052$1,349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.821,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Norrie37c1,864$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.88,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Norrie34c1,693$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.726,79836.9%2,507 W · 4,291 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c82…1f13backed Tien60c1,690$1,014 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$676.0211343.4%49 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked Tien62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.914549%71 W · 74 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe036…44e6backed Tien62c1,613$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612.9666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Tien60c1,506$904 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.41,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85d9…717bbacked Norrie38c1,466$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.894843.8%21 W · 27 L+0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed Tien71c1,342$947 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.925151%26 W · 25 L-0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x903d…a46ebacked Norrie41c1,180$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Norrie38c1,158$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.9876140.6%309 W · 452 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92f1…9b81backed Tien45c1,111$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.113336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+29.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Norrie42c1,050$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$442.522641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Tien62c1,050$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.6424852%129 W · 119 L+0.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Tien60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4007037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Norrie38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3805362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe786…b716backed Tien62c965.5$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.59264.1%59 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked Norrie38c921$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.9862742.4%266 W · 361 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Norrie53c815.3$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$432.5119234.4%66 W · 126 L-7.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Norrie38c797.99$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.2355143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Tien59c771.99$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.5287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Tien76c769.57$585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.15350.9%27 W · 26 L+6.0wins+0.11per pick40cpaid+12%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed Tien60c751.67$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.674060%24 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Tien60c748.57$449 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.434930.6%15 W · 34 L-4.9wins-0.10per pick41cpaid-39.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Tien58c733.35$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.5728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe54d…b5a9backed Tien71c626.47$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.231850%9 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Tien66c600$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20515447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Tien52c599.99$312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28870565.1%459 W · 246 L+28.6wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Tien59c572.9$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.4918241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Norrie34c548.42$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.51,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf67c…2f87backed Norrie47c530.67$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-36.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Norrie40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e2c…94c5backed Tien70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1503447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Norrie41c487.8$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed46…1badbacked Tien62c483.87$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.873948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-24.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Norrie52c480.75$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.998243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe03…2ba5backed Norrie39c475$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaef…a883backed Tien60c400.35$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.142227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdac1…c3e1backed Norrie30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1206839.7%27 W · 41 L+6.8wins+0.10per pick30cpaid+2.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0b3b…fc35backed Tien61c399$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.61540%2 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffc3…8fffbacked Norrie78c389$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.42520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-72%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x99fc…ec26backed Tien49c380.78$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.265939.6%261 W · 398 L-24.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a44…d80abacked Tien59c363.4$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.991844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Norrie29c363$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.210815.7%17 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+248.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Tien58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.831,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Norrie78c334.4$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.838248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa4d0…91acbacked Tien71c330.99$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.4410261.8%63 W · 39 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick60cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41d2…5d69backed Tien60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Tien79c301.71$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.113066.7%20 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4db1…4adcbacked Tien61c300$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f56…f93cbacked Tien48c298.19$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.06850%4 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked Norrie17c294.12$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Tien57c275.86$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8175547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4818…afdfbacked Tien62c270$167 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Norrie49c265.44$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.9917442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed Norrie47c250$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.513641.9%57 W · 79 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Norrie40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004456.8%25 W · 19 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+19.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2af2…3965backed Tien80c250$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502268.2%15 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Tien63c238.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.7322744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56ee…5800backed Norrie42c238.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+32%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Tien56c236.43$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0338348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5d…99ebbacked Tien45c227.98$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.481450%7 W · 7 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+113.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Norrie35c225.49$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,35846.5%1,097 W · 1,261 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8a0…f967backed Tien52c225$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.58248.8%40 W · 42 L+7.0wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Tien58c223.79$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.791,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed Norrie13c219.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.563030%9 W · 21 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Tien48c209.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3718250%91 W · 91 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02f0…6122backed Tien62c205$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.9450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Norrie44c204$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.931145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd869…34c5backed Tien60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a5…4f7cbacked Norrie24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-24.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96ec…fcc4backed Norrie50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021346.5%99 W · 114 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ec…a7b9backed Norrie25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010822.2%24 W · 84 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick17cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Norrie32c200$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6310846.3%50 W · 58 L-0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Tien58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8460055.7%334 W · 266 L+2.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Tien55c199.99$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.992245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
  • The position was at least $10.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.