TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x17c1…a606

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
114
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 58 out of 100; worst Tennis at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT4557.8%26 W · 19 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Tennis — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
HSBC Championships: Brandon Nakashima vs Francisco Cerundolobacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$525
Roland Garros WTA: Anna Kalinskaya vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Anna Kalinskaya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$452Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$452.4
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$236.6
Roland Garros ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$152.89
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Comesana vs Luciano Darderibacked Francisco Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$393Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$251.51
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Marko Topo vs Hugo Gastonbacked Hugo Gaston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$136.91
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Henri Squire vs Cristian Garinbacked Cristian Garin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$635Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$635.15
Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Daniil Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$27.32
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Elisabetta Cocciaretto vs Veronika Podrezbacked Elisabetta Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.7
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Fabian Marozsanbacked Fabian Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$788Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$787.64
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Katie Boulter vs Jaqueline Cristianbacked Jaqueline Cristian · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$351Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.39
Barcelona Open: Cameron Norrie vs Ethan Quinnbacked Cameron Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,475Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$371.31
Open Capfinances Rouen Metropole: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Ann Libacked Ann Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$985Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$485.2
Barcelona Open: Arthur Fils vs Terence Atmanebacked Arthur Fils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$988Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+25%+$247
Porsche Tennis Grand Prix: Eva Lys vs Paula Badosabacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$461.51
BMW Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Diego Dedura-Palomerobacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$989Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+37%+$365.91
Mexico City: James Duckworth vs Stefano Napolitanobacked James Duckworth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$929.1
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,859Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$653.08
Barcelona Open, Qualification: Marco Trungelliti vs Pedro Martinezbacked Marco Trungelliti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$846Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$845.98
BMW Open, Qualification: Vitaliy Sachko vs Max Hans Rehbergbacked Vitaliy Sachko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$666Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$408.47
Sarasota: Yibing Wu vs Darwin Blanchbacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$647Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$333.06
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Anastasia Potapova vs Donna Vekicbacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,213Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+30.2%+$366.41
US Men's Clay Court Championships: Ben Shelton vs Thiago Agustin Tirantebacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.08
Bucharest Open: Alex Molcan vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$978Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$376.12
Bucharest Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,925Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,924.69
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.96
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$628Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$628.19
Timberwolves vs. Pistonsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.12
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,296Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,080.3
Pistons vs. Mavericksbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$457Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+52.3%+$238.83
Kings vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST+37%+$268.07
Hawks vs. Hornetsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,908Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,908.07
Cavaliers vs. Bullsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST-100%-$4,841.68
Grizzlies vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,163Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$1,162.5
Pistons vs. Celticsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$2,779Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+108.3%+$3,010.5
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,264Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+56.2%+$1,836.11
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,474Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+29.9%+$1,037.57
Hawks vs. Wizardsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$722Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+25%+$180.38
Knicks vs. Magicbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$3,473.3
Clippers vs. Hornetsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$5,763Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+57%+$3,286.04
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,101Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$2,101.2
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$18,550Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6,183.33
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15,778Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$15,777.73
Hawks vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$8,928Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$8,928
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$13,108Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+33.3%+$4,369.25
Suns vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10,482Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$10,482.46
Hornets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10,511Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+41.6%+$4,377.91
Clippers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$5,376Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+78.6%+$4,223.94
All 23 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1457.1%8 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick67cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic (BO3) - PGL Astana Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.22
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX - Map 1 Winnerbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$462Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$462
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$439Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$236.43
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$154.58
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,203Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$1,507.28
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FaZe (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+42.9%+$156.9
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz (BO3)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$2,640Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST+31.6%+$833.66
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Team Falcons (BO3)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,786Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+35.6%+$634.91
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Passion UA (BO3)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,269Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$518.33
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3)backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$902Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+40.8%+$368.38
Counter-Strike: B8 vs paiN (BO3)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$2,403.21
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO1)backed FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,418Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$2,417.7
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs M80 (BO1)backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$262Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$261.55
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)backed Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$5,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$5,179.65
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2024, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+24.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT6100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+61.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Basquet Gironabacked La Laguna Tenerife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37.2%+$80.14
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. KK Crvena Zvezdabacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,787Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+35.2%+$1,684.93
BC Dubai vs. Maccabi Tel Avivbacked Maccabi Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,661Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST+151.9%+$4,042.01
ASVEL Lyon-Villeurbanne vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$7,416Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+30.2%+$2,235.95
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. Monacobacked Monaco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+51.5%+$758.77
BC Dubai vs. Hapoel Tel Avivbacked Hapoel Tel Aviv · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,792Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST+63.7%+$1,141.37
All 6 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-43.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.9%+$141.81
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,044Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$447.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: MOUZ vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$228.6
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion (BO3)backed Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,091Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+30.5%+$637.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$50
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Flames vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,914Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$3,914.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Josh Hokit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$103.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10,403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10,403.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$794Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$793.89
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.