TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hawks vs. Spurs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Hawks, Spurs
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,434,161
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,608,543

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,434,161 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Hawks51c567,122$288,861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288,860.892365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Spurs52c269,157$140,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128,207.241,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Spurs51c108,167$55,165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,001.935151%26 W · 25 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed Spurs49c104,438$51,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53,263.3915443.5%67 W · 87 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5922…3388backed Spurs50c100,000$49,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,2004456.8%25 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Spurs49c93,819$46,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,465.1172648.3%351 W · 375 L+30.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hawks50c75,474$37,743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37,742.872,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe405…bf91backed Spurs76c70,147$53,272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,874.5648448.8%236 W · 248 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hawks50c57,893$29,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29,017.782,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd43c…04e8backed Hawks51c50,753$25,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,884.0311535.7%41 W · 74 L-12.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x06e6…87e6backed Hawks50c45,374$22,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,784.8344648%214 W · 232 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hawks22c42,414$9,359 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,358.6126038.1%99 W · 161 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Spurs52c38,500$20,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,32534062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Spurs50c32,495$16,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,340.3520253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Hawks49c30,408$14,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,899.918744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Spurs50c30,000$15,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,00051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Spurs50c29,888$14,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,991.091,21248.3%586 W · 626 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Hawks30c29,430$8,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,886.891,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs66c27,897$18,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,461.124,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeaf…dbaabacked Hawks27c26,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.9937930.6%116 W · 263 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Hawks51c24,030$12,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,365.674748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06c0…e618backed Spurs50c20,483$10,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,241.4413455.2%74 W · 60 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Hawks29c19,703$5,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,689.678445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Spurs56c19,120$10,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,339.365,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Spurs49c18,256$8,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,310.617946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Hawks24c16,500$3,963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,963.151,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Spurs51c15,000$7,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,35038248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs48c14,467$6,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,522.922,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x481b…74c1backed Hawks39c13,830$5,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,438.2448046%221 W · 259 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs49c13,138$6,381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,757.349,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a59…770cbacked Hawks19c12,619$2,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,362.846665.2%43 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Spurs49c12,500$6,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,3752,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x57a8…6933backed Spurs50c12,451$6,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,225.592753.5%496 W · 431 L+20.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks31c12,380$3,782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,781.98,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Spurs69c11,703$8,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,645.031,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf209…97e1backed Spurs52c11,624$6,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,624.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ecd…a578backed Hawks49c10,391$5,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,091.5123135.1%81 W · 150 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbde3…4a49backed Hawks35c10,000$3,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,50027251.1%139 W · 133 L+10.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Spurs51c8,799$4,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,311.513256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x47bd…bc9dbacked Hawks49c8,318$4,076 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,075.865347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb9b6…630cbacked Hawks49c8,160$3,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,998.46352.4%33 W · 30 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51d9…cb1abacked Hawks46c8,135$3,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.0513743.8%60 W · 77 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs49c7,399$3,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,740.4544459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fab…e336backed Hawks55c7,235$3,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9603148.4%15 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Hawks31c6,744$2,123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,123.2685344%375 W · 478 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Hawks52c6,666$3,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,466.3276249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hawks42c6,473$2,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,714.1766744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hawks51c6,127$3,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,099.0587144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8aa0…31f4backed Hawks49c5,920$2,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,900.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe510…386abacked Spurs51c5,916$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,898.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e92…26debacked Spurs51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.356100%6 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x550b…a964backed Spurs51c5,882$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,882.18650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe12a…67efbacked Spurs51c5,820$2,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,837.7615841.1%65 W · 93 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Hawks49c5,820$2,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,835.2719150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9376…c075backed Spurs53c5,641$2,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,661.5214156%79 W · 62 L+6.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1a4…e9adbacked Spurs49c5,500$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8054535.6%16 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Hawks39c5,250$2,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.3415549.7%77 W · 78 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Spurs78c5,139$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,138.6316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bcd…0aa5backed Spurs52c5,118$2,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.431741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ce2…e868backed Spurs48c5,046$2,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,636.825850%29 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Spurs49c5,000$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,550.0234645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Hawks51c5,000$2,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,55043051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Spurs50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50016641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Spurs50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,50045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Hawks23c4,722$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.62,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Spurs51c4,672$2,383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,289.217354.3%94 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Spurs50c4,533$2,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,287.383,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked Spurs49c4,500$2,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,29519448.5%94 W · 100 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Hawks51c4,500$2,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,29547748.8%233 W · 244 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed Spurs72c4,441$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,241.12941.4%12 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4132…a5a5backed Hawks32c4,328$1,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,395.6820851.4%107 W · 101 L+5.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…cd30backed Spurs51c4,300$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,1072740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81d…b365backed Hawks50c4,300$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,149.9811149.5%55 W · 56 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Hawks51c4,250$2,167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.4766250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3a…67cabacked Hawks57c4,202$2,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,381.1850838.2%194 W · 314 L+22.3wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x17c1…a606backed Hawks51c4,120$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,101.22352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe3e4…9241backed Hawks49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003432.4%11 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid+21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Hawks49c4,076$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,997.247751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Hawks1c4,051$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.517211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Hawks28c4,033$1,131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.481,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Spurs50c4,000$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.011,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9dd…b525backed Hawks35c4,000$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,38044337.9%168 W · 275 L-0.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Hawks49c4,000$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9604951%25 W · 24 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hawks50c3,961$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00031044.8%139 W · 171 L+1.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Spurs52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.2611750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Spurs52c3,846$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,846.1548938.7%189 W · 300 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Hawks11c3,750$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39670153.5%375 W · 326 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Hawks30c3,500$1,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,04076850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9013…38cebacked Hawks52c3,500$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8201040%4 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick60cpaid-33.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Hawks51c3,477$1,761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.041,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Hawks50c3,447$1,723 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,722.6769852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Spurs73c3,412$2,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.991,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5ebf…e50fbacked Hawks50c3,085$1,542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.3765144.5%290 W · 361 L+36.3wins+0.06per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed Hawks51c3,000$1,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,53018047.8%86 W · 94 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Spurs49c2,991$1,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.412,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hawks19c2,789$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517.751,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c14…7bc1backed Hawks49c2,663$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.9111142.3%47 W · 64 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Spurs43c2,627$1,133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.371,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdca6…9a97backed Hawks49c2,527$1,238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2388556.5%48 W · 37 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed Hawks40c2,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00013558.5%79 W · 56 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.