NBA · resolved market
Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d4321c3ce9a746f0bb26bff8e94b14f1a25d6d15c0bd16611b351fde02243f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,168
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,168 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 8,433$4,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300.73 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 8,363$4,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.69 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec5…a219backed Over | 49c | 3,506$1,718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 908$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2630…e941backed Under | 52c | 674$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.48 | 428 | 45.1%193 W · 235 L | -15.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff3c…1bd2backed Over | 49c | 457$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 36cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 51c | 325$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.75 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x527d…ceb1backed Under | 53c | 285$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…34d2backed Under | 53c | 250$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 227.13$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.98 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 52c | 225$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9452…34ddbacked Over | 49c | 224$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b30…178cbacked Under | 52c | 203$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…01ebbacked Over | 49c | 202$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 660 | 46.8%309 W · 351 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe098…8ee2backed Under | 52c | 200$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 207 | 54.1%112 W · 95 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dd8…c61abacked Over | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf28…e8b5backed Over | 49c | 189$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.39 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5941…ba47backed Over | 49c | 188$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d9…30afbacked Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…e050backed Under | 53c | 175$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed7…52e6backed Under | 53c | 172$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.16 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf65…304bbacked Under | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…aa0ebacked Over | 49c | 162$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbba5…2a39backed Under | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562d…2c7bbacked Under | 53c | 162$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.86 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fc…87cdbacked Over | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd588…b829backed Over | 49c | 155$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c0…43fdbacked Over | 49c | 142$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6690…d62abacked Over | 50c | 141$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34b7…be11backed Over | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac2e…a1f0backed Under | 53c | 137$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.61 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03e5…c531backed Over | 50c | 136$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96fd…7c1bbacked Under | 53c | 134$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddb…4c28backed Over | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe711…a1b9backed Over | 49c | 133$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.83 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e9…80bbbacked Under | 51c | 132$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6755…a477backed Under | 53c | 121$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e3aebacked Under | 52c | 117$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.84 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x300c…e61cbacked Over | 49c | 112$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb56b…8e16backed Under | 53c | 111$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.83 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0512…dc07backed Under | 53c | 107$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.71 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.36per pick | 52cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 726 | 47.7%346 W · 380 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…d80bbacked Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 409 | 52.1%213 W · 196 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d3…e601backed Over | 50c | 98.98$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.49 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd148…92c5backed Under | 53c | 98$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0f…2fb1backed Over | 49c | 85$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.35 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…a864backed Under | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…2003backed Under | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff4…d5c1backed Under | 53c | 81$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4137…26d8backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1da6…53edbacked Over | 50c | 70$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9536…2ba3backed Over | 49c | 66$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74a6…3cd9backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…fb23backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43af…da96backed Over | 50c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5this page
- Hawks vs. SpursSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H MoneylineSpurs won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 229.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hawks vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Over won
- Spread: Spurs (-1.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.