TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Hawks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$40,236
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$40,913

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,236 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Hawks53c10,000$5,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3001,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Spurs47c9,345$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,931.469,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Spurs50c7,408$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,70812341.5%51 W · 72 L-8.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb116…940abacked Hawks52c3,470$1,804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,804.412655.6%70 W · 56 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs47c2,686$1,262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,423.4669852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Spurs47c2,500$1,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,32528850.3%145 W · 143 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6ee…b3aabacked Hawks51c2,500$1,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,274.9236248.9%177 W · 185 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8640…93a3backed Hawks52c2,100$1,092 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0921533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-33%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc29a…8776backed Spurs48c2,100$1,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0922250%11 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Hawks54c1,798$976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$975.7218452.7%97 W · 87 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd71a…9498backed Spurs48c1,505$717 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.614549%71 W · 74 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Spurs48c1,275$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.054,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Spurs48c1,253$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.432,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Spurs49c1,151$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.572,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hawks52c1,095$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$570.238,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Hawks53c999$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4740243.8%176 W · 226 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fc1…ffeebacked Hawks52c961.54$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50036943.4%160 W · 209 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fb5…cdb0backed Hawks53c956.58$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506.995644.6%25 W · 31 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Hawks52c753.27$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.466,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5a9…45ffbacked Spurs49c569$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1923850%119 W · 119 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd8d…a108backed Hawks53c566.04$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010347.6%49 W · 54 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hawks50c468.82$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.413,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfda7…5393backed Hawks51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x261b…b32bbacked Hawks53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010760.7%65 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9804…d512backed Hawks53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010349.5%51 W · 52 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Spurs46c355.26$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.722,79650.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L+27.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Spurs47c328.89$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.733,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3088…ec44backed Spurs46c310.62$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.843043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe098…8ee2backed Hawks53c240$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.220754.1%112 W · 95 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Hawks51c200$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10234645.7%158 W · 188 L+12.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…7712backed Hawks53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062766.7%18 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4209…7582backed Hawks52c190.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10033235.5%118 W · 214 L-27.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-15.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf90f…8296backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020245%91 W · 111 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023553.6%126 W · 109 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…8117backed Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020444.6%91 W · 113 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Hawks53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005550.9%28 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.10per pick61cpaid-27.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21b4…e064backed Hawks53c157.43$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.4411946.2%55 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5dd…490bbacked Hawks52c155$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.612654.8%69 W · 57 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e4…22ccbacked Spurs47c150$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.537750.4%190 W · 187 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb203…8e45backed Hawks53c126.51$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.055050%25 W · 25 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cdc…60a4backed Spurs49c117.6$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.982564%16 W · 9 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+24.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9fc7…b89bbacked Hawks55c107.27$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592759.3%16 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51f6…368cbacked Hawks53c105.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566046.7%28 W · 32 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4f1…f0e8backed Spurs49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.048155.6%45 W · 36 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b9b…bc4abacked Hawks55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5537850.3%190 W · 188 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae53…d80bbacked Hawks54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5440952.1%213 W · 196 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed Spurs48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526541.5%27 W · 38 L-7.6wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-21.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf5cc…0540backed Hawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010348.5%50 W · 53 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5515…451dbacked Hawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505261.5%32 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a4…d70cbacked Hawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504645.7%21 W · 25 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b5f…3269backed Hawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504254.8%23 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd8c2…2f0bbacked Hawks53c94.34$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.4wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-21.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Hawks53c93.4$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.515448.7%75 W · 79 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5d3…e601backed Spurs49c89.41$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.6113550.4%68 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fed…0d78backed Hawks52c87$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.245141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83d3…a973backed Hawks55c80$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4410261.8%63 W · 39 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Hawks53c75.47$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405369.8%37 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+29.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd22f…d0eebacked Hawks53c66.04$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3540853.7%219 W · 189 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412c…43b4backed Spurs51c64.71$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.712157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x897d…90c9backed Hawks52c60$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.216559.4%98 W · 67 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Hawks52c57.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3023445.7%107 W · 127 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Spurs48c57.69$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0bd1…0100backed Spurs48c57$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.643351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb966…cac6backed Hawks53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025351%129 W · 124 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c9…8174backed Hawks55c54.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309851%50 W · 48 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70df…bca8backed Spurs49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0232750.2%164 W · 163 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Spurs49c51.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.027659.2%45 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed Spurs46c51$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.5423348.9%114 W · 119 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73da…8c9bbacked Hawks53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.53938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-29.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Hawks50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,02848.5%499 W · 529 L+27.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Hawks50c48$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2434451.5%177 W · 167 L+8.5wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac68…4cf4backed Hawks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254062.5%25 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Hawks53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256061.7%37 W · 23 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick66cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33ea…dcf4backed Hawks56c44.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$256456.3%36 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf54a…e25dbacked Spurs48c41.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6715752.2%82 W · 75 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Spurs32c39.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.693,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5acc…89e0backed Hawks53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204566.7%30 W · 15 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+37.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f3…57f3backed Hawks53c37.74$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick55cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4131…d591backed Hawks53c34.26$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1814650.7%74 W · 72 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa26…c10abacked Spurs49c32.4$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.523855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x522f…79c2backed Spurs49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.614440.9%18 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Hawks68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48758.6%51 W · 36 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e19…e721backed Hawks53c28.3$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152763%17 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…5bc4backed Spurs48c25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135843.1%25 W · 33 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc297…b0d2backed Hawks58c21.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.327254.2%39 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b1f…4eebbacked Hawks52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.411464.9%74 W · 40 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe1f…68f3backed Hawks53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.63467.6%23 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x45f8…adb6backed Hawks53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.61163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Hawks53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.614953%79 W · 70 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Hawks50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1033147.4%157 W · 174 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa798…4240backed Hawks52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.46558.5%38 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.