TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xfe1f…68f3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
78
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 56 out of 100; worst College Football at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT3467.6%23 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick68cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+25%+$5
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 12, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Spurs vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Heat vs. Magicbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Warriors vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Spurs vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Clippers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+44.9%+$8.99
Hawks vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
Raptors vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+36.1%+$14.42
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST+78.6%+$15.71
Pistons vs. Pacersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$5
76ers vs. Bucksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Spread: Grizzlies (-3.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$11.2
Clippers vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
Bulls vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Nuggets vs. Clippersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+29.9%+$5.97
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bulls vs. Pistonsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Nuggets vs. Kingsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Grizzlies vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Spurs vs. Bullsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+63.9%+$12.79
Trail Blazers vs. Magicbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Lakers vs. Hornetsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+31.6%+$12.63
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1190.9%10 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick76cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Giants vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.32
Panthers vs. 49ersbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$5.64
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Buccaneers vs. Billsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+37%+$7.4
Bengals vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Bears vs. Vikingsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+42.9%+$8.57
Chargers vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+29.9%+$3.29
Commanders vs. Dolphinsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+33.3%+$6.67
Lions vs. Commandersbacked Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Bears vs. Bengalsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$7.78
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 21, 2025, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick70cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Utah vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+29.9%+$4.6
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Panthers vs. Kingsbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+27.4%+$10.96
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-63.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+241.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown end November 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+257.1%+$31.87
Will the government shutdown end November 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+225.1%+$48.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-11-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+26.6%+$5.32
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$6.32
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+40.8%+$12.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+31.6%+$9.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Cougars vs. Auburn Tigersbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+25%+$5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1899 Hoffenheim win on 2025-11-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Nov 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CA Huracán win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Oregon Statebacked Oregon State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.