La Liga · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x870ccdb2cb3beb1675ecff1e8303b7bc4a89fddf21d034095b7db03d4188e297
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,507
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 25c | 4,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.92 | 79 | 22.8%18 W · 61 L | -8.5wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed No | 25c | 1,906$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.4 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked No | 25c | 1,741$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.31 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…cfe2backed Yes | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed No | 24c | 997$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.63 | 146 | 21.9%32 W · 114 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 23c | 940.55$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.59 | 280 | 55%154 W · 126 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b7…4717backed Yes | 75c | 666.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked Yes | 75c | 658$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 202 | 55%111 W · 91 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60b2…c82fbacked Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x41c4…fc8fbacked Yes | 75c | 600$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Yes | 76c | 590.02$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed No | 26c | 535.93$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b12…30d8backed Yes | 75c | 456$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80b6…ebb8backed Yes | 74c | 438.63$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661e…a52cbacked Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb78…cff7backed Yes | 78c | 353.62$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Yes | 76c | 332.03$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 72cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…17d2backed Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…ca3cbacked Yes | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 23c | 256.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675a…0551backed Yes | 79c | 253.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Yes | 45c | 200$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +6.5wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe880…de2dbacked No | 55c | 200$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa6…39dbbacked Yes | 77c | 195.25$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.6 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…6edbbacked Yes | 73c | 168.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d18…ec31backed Yes | 74c | 149.79$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x043d…9aeebacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf18d…f783backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 73c | 133.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…d257backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…85e8backed Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 76cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e93…d1b1backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9b…7653backed Yes | 76c | 129$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…958abacked No | 16c | 105.61$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa137…06d7backed Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…eff7backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…6b43backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 19c | 93.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 57 | 5.3%3 W · 54 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -85.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa520…e1a2backed Yes | 74c | 87.84$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.84 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62cb…e2e0backed Yes | 74c | 81.85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…ffedbacked No | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f1…3ee4backed No | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd65…3e60backed Yes | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 139 | 58.3%81 W · 58 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 73c | 65.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd627…f511backed Yes | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e8…2299backed Yes | 75c | 58.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Yes | 73c | 58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a34…cbd4backed Yes | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f8…d5e2backed Yes | 75c | 53.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…dbb0backed Yes | 75c | 43.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08b8…af7abacked Yes | 74c | 40.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261b…b32bbacked Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd22…7025backed Yes | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae53…c2b5backed Yes | 74c | 33.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.78 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +103.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba43…6277backed Yes | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1f…68f3backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac3…d090backed Yes | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…6116backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…42c4backed Yes | 75c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x624a…287cbacked Yes | 74c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef96…54dfbacked Yes | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Madrid vs. Barcelona: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Madrid (-0.5)Real Madrid won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.