TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf1f9…01b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST2462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Timberwolves vs. Grizzliesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,380Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,379.99
Thunder vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$32
Heat vs. Bullsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,992Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+47.1%+$1,407.99
Pacers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,360Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+25%+$840
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$838Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+66.7%+$558.8
Thunder vs. Rocketsbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$3,596Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+61.3%+$2,204
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$749.1
Cavaliers vs. Pacersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$346.5
Warriors vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,441Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+170.3%+$2,453.85
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Rockets vs. Nuggetsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 16, 2025, EST-100%-$2,080
Trail Blazers vs. Pistonsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$923Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$923
Trail Blazers vs. Pistons: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST+96.1%+$960.78
Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$2,247Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,246.91
Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,000
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$223Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$223.12
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$733.33
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$288.24
Hornets vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$538.46
Bulls vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,000
Spurs vs. Pelicansbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$293.65
Heat vs. Grizzliesbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.5%+$277.04
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+175.5%+$877.29
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$600
All 24 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.36per pick39cpaid+98%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-24.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$148
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+50.9%+$236
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Islanders vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$461.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swedish Open: Jesper de Jong vs Vilius Gaubasbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,428Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$672
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+37%+$13.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$134
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texans vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,212Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$1,211.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Dec 17, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Medline's market cap be between $45B and $55B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST-100%-$683.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.