TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Celtics vs. Pistons

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pistonsof Celtics, Pistons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,362,916
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,559,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,362,916 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 878 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7b8c…1556backed Pistons39c130,270$51,236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79,034.595646.4%26 W · 30 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+33.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Celtics47c123,663$58,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58,175.992365.2%15 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+24.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x02fc…2c31backed Celtics42c80,000$33,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,599.811729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed Pistons61c40,603$24,934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,668.318744.8%39 W · 48 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-21.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x60a9…b5a8backed Celtics44c38,549$16,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,994.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Pistons58c35,199$20,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,773.5619249.5%95 W · 97 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x134a…9e42backed Celtics43c35,194$15,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,158.725942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick37cpaid0%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics30c30,738$9,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,309.7985742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8f2…ace5backed Pistons58c29,860$17,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,541.161233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-35.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Pistons55c29,179$16,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,130.5420253.5%108 W · 94 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Pistons58c25,000$14,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,50051350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Celtics13c23,356$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00025925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a3…8a3dbacked Celtics44c22,700$9,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9881838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Celtics32c21,997$6,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,961.1881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc10…3f05backed Pistons56c20,000$11,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,8009650%48 W · 48 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Pistons57c20,000$11,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,50034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Celtics43c18,658$8,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,10636148.5%175 W · 186 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Pistons52c16,753$8,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,037.2447144.2%208 W · 263 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Celtics32c15,061$4,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,829.747448.7%231 W · 243 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Pistons58c14,581$8,403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,177.7971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc610…707abacked Celtics46c14,100$6,486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,486475%3 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.48per pick28cpaid+1,408.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8de…6d98backed Pistons54c14,100$7,614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,486250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8058…d023backed Celtics41c13,864$5,717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,717.147946.8%37 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Celtics26c12,546$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.613,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2a3…c3a6backed Pistons57c12,000$6,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,1603663.9%23 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Celtics43c10,537$4,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,530.7717658%102 W · 74 L+13.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics49c10,130$4,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,959.566744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25cc…9297backed Pistons59c10,000$5,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,10016942%71 W · 98 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked Pistons58c10,000$5,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2007748.1%37 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd8b…aa7ebacked Celtics27c9,874$2,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,622.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Celtics44c8,500$3,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,739.962,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8e5a…8f58backed Celtics42c8,424$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,497.366241.9%26 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics29c8,193$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,350.541,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Pistons51c8,036$4,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,937.8314856.1%83 W · 65 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Pistons56c7,532$4,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,308.1747751.8%247 W · 230 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c15…73b3backed Celtics73c6,889$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,000812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.42per pick54cpaid-69.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Celtics45c6,556$2,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,95010930.3%33 W · 76 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Pistons80c6,256$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,255.6334062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Celtics42c6,014$2,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.6174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Pistons59c5,919$3,511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,407.612240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Pistons53c5,850$3,102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,747.971,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xade8…b0bdbacked Pistons46c5,804$2,653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,151.315246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Celtics44c5,338$2,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,348.851,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Pistons48c5,187$2,498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,689.498251.2%42 W · 40 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked Celtics43c5,103$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,181.8369852%363 W · 335 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked Pistons59c5,030$2,968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,062.2795049.4%469 W · 481 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Pistons56c5,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20035235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d6…7f41backed Celtics63c5,000$3,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,150666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed Celtics43c5,000$2,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1504553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Celtics57c4,851$2,765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,765.1138434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f89…d508backed Celtics66c4,544$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0002142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Celtics50c4,536$2,276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,275.511,38439.4%545 W · 839 L+4.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-21.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3cda…6e17backed Celtics43c4,502$1,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,935.78843.2%38 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8628…6f0bbacked Celtics40c4,393$1,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,757.273026.7%8 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-37.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Celtics30c4,371$1,304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.342254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaed4…6c83backed Celtics16c4,021$640 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.8620%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Pistons56c4,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,76025945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b59…232fbacked Pistons56c3,571$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.432161.9%13 W · 8 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Celtics20c3,200$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64847535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf6d2…b364backed Celtics41c3,137$1,286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,286.1710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed Celtics40c3,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2004544.4%20 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x444e…aac4backed Pistons56c3,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+40.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3c0…2034backed Celtics44c3,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32030%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Pistons50c2,714$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.2976850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5523…51e9backed Pistons57c2,419$1,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.0961851.6%319 W · 299 L-1.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc276…c2d9backed Celtics41c2,405$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9861145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-34.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x300f…dd95backed Pistons56c2,280$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+61.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b96…cdd5backed Pistons58c2,210$1,282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.25100%5 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+74.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab18…d7fabacked Celtics43c2,200$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+29.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Celtics43c2,171$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa576…89a4backed Pistons53c2,000$1,060 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9402748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.12per pick36cpaid+23.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb78a…8d9bbacked Pistons60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8004100%4 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+97.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfd0…e4dbbacked Celtics40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-51.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3697…f189backed Celtics19c2,000$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38565218.4%120 W · 532 L+12.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x41b7…f6babacked Pistons55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$899.9680146.4%372 W · 429 L-1.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Pistons58c1,854$1,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4373647.3%348 W · 388 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Celtics41c1,836$755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755.344850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1f9…01b0backed Pistons60c1,833$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$733.332462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb43…9d70backed Pistons51c1,778$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$877.538936%32 W · 57 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Celtics29c1,748$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.343051.4%221 W · 209 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb26a…48dabacked Pistons44c1,716$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.222744.4%12 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x869c…9ee8backed Celtics41c1,700$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$697250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaee7…5e51backed Pistons60c1,700$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Celtics50c1,697$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.4244459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0c5…f211backed Celtics45c1,649$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb24e…c0bebacked Pistons60c1,647$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6d…400cbacked Celtics42c1,632$681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$681.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick47cpaid+84.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x046a…0701backed Celtics17c1,626$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.262924.1%7 W · 22 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick39cpaid-50.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda16…ac2bbacked Celtics23c1,600$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37411939.5%47 W · 72 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Pistons60c1,597$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.956339.7%25 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-19.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c82…e0cbbacked Pistons31c1,509$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,033.8627041.5%112 W · 158 L+10.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Pistons57c1,491$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.232,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1cd2…772dbacked Pistons60c1,489$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$595.721100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Pistons59c1,400$826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57431347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Pistons58c1,392$804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8122449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x019d…2b01backed Pistons40c1,250$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75029037.9%110 W · 180 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Pistons43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.7921455.1%118 W · 96 L-1.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa795…c5c6backed Celtics45c1,155$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.7520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Pistons57c1,125$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.2847048.5%228 W · 242 L-18.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dc1…a09ebacked Celtics45c1,100$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid+177.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.