TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf0c5…f211

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
28
Categories scored
4
Categories below 50
1

Best Category: Tennis, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 52 out of 100; worst UFC at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 27, 2025, EDT2339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick34cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rolex Paris Masters: Aleksandar Vukic vs Terence Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$512Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$511.92
Jiangxi Open: Wushuang Zheng vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$525Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$525
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Tomas Etcheverry vs Jesper de Jongbacked Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$858Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$857.66
Swiss Indoors Basel: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Joao Fonsecabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$427
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Damir Dzumhur vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$700
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Ethan Quinnbacked Quinn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$631Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+142.2%+$897.26
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Ann Libacked Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$58.15
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Linda Noskovabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+113.4%+$578.55
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Reilly Opelka vs Mattia Belluccibacked Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$390
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+95.2%+$580.78
Swiss Indoors Basel: Ugo Humbert vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$745Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+128.2%+$955
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Jaume Munarbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$511.11
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$356Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$356
Guangzhou Open: Shuai Zhang vs Ann Libacked Li · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$610Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+75.3%+$459.31
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Claire Liubacked Liu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$571Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$571
Swiss Indoors Basel: Casper Ruud vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$518Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$845.61
Erste Bank Open: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Bublikbacked Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$198.72
Swiss Indoors Basel: Joao Fonseca vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+207.8%+$727.35
Guangzhou Open: Katie Volynets vs Shuai Zhangbacked Volynets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$415.4
Pan Pacific Open: Belinda Bencic vs Karolina Muchovabacked Bencic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+163.4%+$817.14
Guangzhou Open: Lulu Sun vs Caty McNallybacked McNally · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$417
Erste Bank Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Corentin Moutetbacked Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.8
All 23 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$742
Pacers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$364.91
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$464Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+113.7%+$527.49
All 3 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olimpia Milano vs. Valenciabacked Valencia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$459.18
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Haqparast vs. Salkilldbacked Haqparast · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.