Tennis · resolved market
Rolex Paris Masters, Qualification: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Ethan Quinn
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeaaee21e123ae77b06faa7df7bfc75ad691adf87f554fd717684937d0f649ba2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Quinnof Zandschulp, Quinn
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,070
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd173…1a38backed Zandschulp | 60c | 6,400$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3586…12edbacked Quinn | 40c | 6,400$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Quinn | 64c | 2,019$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.56 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3aa…2ed5backed Quinn | 39c | 1,789$698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +103.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…2ddfbacked Zandschulp | 60c | 1,756$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed8b…5095backed Quinn | 40c | 1,756$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +123%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Zandschulp | 62c | 1,539$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.33 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…f211backed Quinn | 41c | 1,528$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.26 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…8f3cbacked Zandschulp | 78c | 1,438$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.8 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7cd…811ebacked Zandschulp | 61c | 1,287$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zandschulp | 3c | 982.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Zandschulp | 61c | 900.79$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.03 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Quinn | 19c | 781.53$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$633.04 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Quinn | 68c | 725.92$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.87 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Zandschulp | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Quinn | 43c | 643.94$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Quinn | 41c | 597.5$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Zandschulp | 36c | 580$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.8 | 291 | 52.6%153 W · 138 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc65…7bf3backed Zandschulp | 61c | 502$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.22 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…d58bbacked Zandschulp | 62c | 479.37$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Quinn | 65c | 450$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.3 | 864 | 70%605 W · 259 L | +43.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Quinn | 46c | 448.59$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.79 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac4…bf62backed Zandschulp | 59c | 445.32$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.74 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Zandschulp | 60c | 444$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.4 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Zandschulp | 47c | 426.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Zandschulp | 59c | 379.03$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.63 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Quinn | 70c | 357$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Zandschulp | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 177 | 41.8%74 W · 103 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Quinn | 73c | 343$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 100 | 60%60 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdf…edf9backed Zandschulp | 60c | 330.83$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.5 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Quinn | 42c | 326.31$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09b6…f48dbacked Zandschulp | 38c | 300$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd82a…5fcfbacked Quinn | 38c | 300$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Quinn | 69c | 275.36$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.36 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Zandschulp | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Quinn | 40c | 248.54$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.54 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Zandschulp | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…e7b3backed Zandschulp | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Zandschulp | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0283…e7d3backed Zandschulp | 62c | 146.34$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.73 | 202 | 57.4%116 W · 86 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Zandschulp | 27c | 140.86$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.72 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4243…35d1backed Quinn | 64c | 138.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 46cpaid | -61.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Zandschulp | 63c | 119.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 646 | 37.2%240 W · 406 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e84…db92backed Quinn | 40c | 108$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…fb3ebacked Zandschulp | 60c | 108$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Quinn | 64c | 103.13$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.13 | 729 | 57.3%418 W · 311 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfbd…92dabacked Zandschulp | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.2 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4728…f975backed Quinn | 40c | 87.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Quinn | 38c | 82.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31d6…d617backed Zandschulp | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.1 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb4…acb6backed Zandschulp | 60c | 78.33$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ee…8067backed Quinn | 48c | 77.55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 499 | 55.1%275 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Quinn | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8396…e909backed Quinn | 73c | 68.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…e758backed Zandschulp | 62c | 66.67$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x016c…ae19backed Zandschulp | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Quinn | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked Zandschulp | 61c | 57.54$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…b2febacked Quinn | 61c | 55.56$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 53 | 60.4%32 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeefe…32aabacked Quinn | 39c | 54.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Quinn | 48c | 45.83$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.83 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Quinn | 45c | 42.22$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.22 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Zandschulp | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Quinn | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Quinn | 66c | 32.96$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Zandschulp | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,339 | 46.6%1,090 W · 1,249 L | +55.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47f3…a2e5backed Zandschulp | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Zandschulp | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…bc24backed Zandschulp | 62c | 27.42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfde0…c132backed Zandschulp | 63c | 18.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.