TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbf32…aecb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
92
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: Serie A, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Serie A at 55 out of 100; worst NFL at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 28, 2025, EST1513.3%2 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick31cpaid-61.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NFL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$477.23
Broncos vs. Texansbacked Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$222
Panthers vs. Packersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+233.3%+$128.33
Chargers vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Ravens vs. Dolphins: O/U 50.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$417
Bills vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$250
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Dolphins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+150.6%+$376.54
Commanders vs. Cowboysbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$576Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$575.75
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$326Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$325.91
Saints vs. Bearsbacked Saints · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$278
Patriots vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.2
Raiders vs. Chiefsbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Rams vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$440
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.75
Bills vs. Falconsbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.39
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Mavericks (-4.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$1,109.95
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+98.1%+$549.71
Warriors vs. Heatbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$300
Raptors vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,994Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$1,994
Warriors vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$819Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+143.9%+$1,177.93
Raptors vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$112.25
Warriors vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+202.1%+$282.56
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.18
Hawks vs. Bullsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$32.97
Magic vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+203%+$22.11
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$93.79
Bucks vs. Cavaliersbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$625Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$625
Knicks vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,099Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+126.5%+$1,390.04
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.67
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Oct 22, 2025, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+14.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atalanta BC vs. SK Slavia Praha end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$123
Will SK Slavia Praha win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5)backed Atalanta BC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2025-10-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$61.66
Will Athletic Club vs. Qarabağ Ağdam FK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC København win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.07
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$31.28
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-10-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$73.52
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick35cpaid+88.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-76.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-30.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-62.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 10 to October 17, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$52.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Oct 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Anyone's Legend (BO3)backed CTBC Flying Oyster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Brøndby IF win on 2025-10-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.65
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.