Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x763152038899738ab6686fecf52a6d38b0d5ca4acf03ebc898fa3cfdfa78c946
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $61,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $69,804
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 128 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 9,461$5,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,755.55 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 4,578$1,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.21 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 31c | 3,723$1,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,154.49 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 6c | 2,488$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.07 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 26c | 2,352$611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.41 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 75c | 2,323$1,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.99 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34e5…7dd4backed Yes | 75c | 2,085$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.56 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 68c | 1,606$1,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.01 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 25c | 1,600$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 118 | 28.8%34 W · 84 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 33c | 1,568$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.92 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 1,471$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.92 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 76c | 1,344$1,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.61 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 1c | 1,040$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63ea…e0fbbacked Yes | 74c | 925.71$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.27 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes | 31c | 822.58$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$567.58 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 75c | 821.77$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.76 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x640a…f359backed No | 11c | 557.05$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 11c | 519.45$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.96 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 23c | 499.8$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.85 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 33c | 488.28$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.85 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked No | 28c | 407.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 25c | 400$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c07…7d26backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.37 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 23c | 361.11$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.06 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 54c | 333.07$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.07 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 23c | 333$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.86 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 77c | 324.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 74c | 322.2$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.6 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 33c | 312.28$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.23 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 52c | 309.07$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.07 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 24c | 300$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 24c | 277.14$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 75c | 266$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.5 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…6451backed Yes | 25c | 252.56$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.56 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 22c | 249.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.61 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed No | 75c | 233.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.32 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf02d…16cabacked Yes | 73c | 219.78$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.51 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…fb9dbacked Yes | 63c | 205.61$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.06 | 63 | 34.9%22 W · 41 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed Yes | 25c | 200$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x68b8…5401backed Yes | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 25c | 196.93$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcc4…21f5backed Yes | 25c | 187.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.79 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 34c | 175$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 75c | 165.91$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.76 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 34c | 153.42$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Yes | 24c | 150$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 63cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Yes | 77c | 130$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.9 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 120.04$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.04 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes | 25c | 120$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 58c | 103.92$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.92 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…a303backed Yes | 56c | 103.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 25c | 100.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.4 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…af1fbacked Yes | 26c | 100.08$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89d0…03c1backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6747…3695backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc587…1630backed No | 77c | 98.83$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.1 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -7.9wins | -0.22per pick | 64cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 75c | 92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…df55backed No | 74c | 90$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 28c | 89.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.85 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x286e…7d04backed Yes | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.08 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 25c | 81.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.32 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae23…1bc4backed Yes | 25c | 80.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c9…fd11backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Yes | 71c | 79.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked No | 75c | 79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.7wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 26c | 77.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcef…3934backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 72c | 75.61$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.44 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.25 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 72.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.36 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 32c | 63.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…9ff3backed Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7260…fd7ebacked Yes | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Yes | 23c | 60.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.43 | 22 | 9.1%2 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 52c | 60.03$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0df…8f41backed Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 52cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…6bbabacked Yes | 54c | 54.12$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 34cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…37a7backed No | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…341bbacked Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Yes | 67c | 49.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +27%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f14…84ddbacked Yes | 67c | 49.62$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed No | 72c | 46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.96 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed Yes | 69c | 45.84$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?this page
- Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.