Fifa International · resolved market
Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc14160a924394312c29ddd81d3bdb1beff7a15a423a8b4627e9b6bd608b0fe2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $141,591
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $144,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $141,591 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 80c | 10,382$8,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,080.15 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 17c | 10,000$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 9,887$7,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.26 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 48c | 6,198$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.94 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Yes | 21c | 4,982$1,026 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 70c | 3,117$2,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.76 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 20c | 3,050$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5b…a718backed Yes | 16c | 3,037$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 74c | 2,786$2,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.09 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 25c | 2,740$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.65 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 77c | 2,733$2,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.87 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Yes | 22c | 2,727$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -2.4wins | -0.22per pick | 31cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed Yes | 42c | 2,590$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.04 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 75c | 2,456$1,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.03 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 21c | 2,369$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.45 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x723c…01ebbacked Yes | 18c | 2,245$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 2,130$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$429.92 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked No | 80c | 2,100$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 112 | 17%19 W · 93 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…794cbacked Yes | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdf0a…8ca0backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Yes | 22c | 1,846$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.51 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed No | 54c | 1,642$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 19c | 1,500$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.51 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 76c | 1,382$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.72 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf475…8c9ebacked No | 80c | 1,310$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Yes | 17c | 1,200$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 250 | 19.6%49 W · 201 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed No | 55c | 1,007$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 20c | 944.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.87 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Yes | 46c | 869.57$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 125 | 54.4%68 W · 57 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa254…8c14backed Yes | 20c | 740.4$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 80c | 700$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked No | 67c | 682$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.27 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 652.74$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes | 19c | 556.6$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.35 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 40c | 553$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.07 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 22c | 520.77$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.05 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e87…a470backed Yes | 19c | 520$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 77c | 507.08$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.28 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed Yes | 21c | 500$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.89 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x621c…ae1bbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 75c | 492$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.84 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes | 18c | 462.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 20c | 447$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.4 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…4927backed Yes | 20c | 431.3$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa414…d03dbacked Yes | 21c | 406.55$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.84 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3e…341bbacked Yes | 17c | 379.98$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7032…0a8bbacked No | 54c | 370.28$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.33 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 78c | 368.57$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes | 19c | 367.98$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2a0…d7a5backed Yes | 29c | 350.24$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5a…1427backed Yes | 23c | 347.83$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Yes | 18c | 338.81$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.36 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4944…e4c7backed Yes | 16c | 318.84$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes | 18c | 305.85$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 16c | 300$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.2 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 20c | 289.96$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.84 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdae7…6c66backed No | 78c | 289.59$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes | 18c | 285.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.27 | 41 | 12.2%5 W · 36 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb125…69ebbacked No | 40c | 271.67$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163 | 70 | 38.6%27 W · 43 L | +11.0wins | +0.16per pick | 23cpaid | +69%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4935…4662backed Yes | 60c | 271.67$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf07b…60a3backed No | 54c | 271.67$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…3e38backed Yes | 17c | 268.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 42 | 21.4%9 W · 33 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…0968backed No | 56c | 267.86$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +136.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 73c | 265.99$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.82 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 17c | 253.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.1 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…6b7cbacked Yes | 19c | 250$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…5d74backed No | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a5…b54dbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Yes | 19c | 245.36$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.62 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…aa54backed Yes | 53c | 245.28$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 59c | 238$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.39 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 6c | 237.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Yes | 19c | 236.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 53cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd3…6e2bbacked No | 66c | 233.9$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0abc…dda6backed Yes | 19c | 210.39$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x186b…641cbacked Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…3a09backed No | 79c | 199.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 79c | 199.97$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Yes | 47c | 198.04$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.9wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 7c | 190.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.69 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Yes | 21c | 190.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1c…970fbacked Yes | 22c | 188.81$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…3269backed Yes | 21c | 145.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 76c | 131.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 19c | 131.6$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 40.8%89 W · 129 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 78c | 128.98$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa5…3590backed Yes | 19c | 128.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…dba8backed Yes | 12c | 125$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 315 | 54.6%172 W · 143 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f3…9d99backed Yes | 17c | 123.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?No won
- Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.