Fifa International · resolved market
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x36425c098c5069c521b6d12fb57e8b5f4ef3701c5d43d7a4a583597c02d7da74
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $359,901
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,751
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $359,901 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f17…519ebacked Yes | 56c | 89,108$49,669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,668.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 51c | 45,116$22,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,118.38 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 44c | 34,322$14,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,353.76 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4991…5ecdbacked No | 45c | 33,710$15,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,568.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +126.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4a…4ef5backed Yes | 48c | 26,449$12,810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,809.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed No | 43c | 18,100$7,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,316.86 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 46c | 12,851$5,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,982.47 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 55c | 12,657$6,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,674.52 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 44c | 9,850$4,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,516 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked Yes | 57c | 9,126$5,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,202.96 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 73c | 7,219$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,942.72 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed No | 45c | 6,831$3,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,779.57 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 55c | 6,529$3,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,620.41 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 45c | 6,500$2,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,574.97 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 50c | 6,347$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,196.25 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8605…750fbacked Yes | 57c | 6,140$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Yes | 57c | 5,714$3,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,253.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68b…fd37backed Yes | 57c | 4,342$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7087…c61fbacked Yes | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,239.96 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 46c | 3,971$1,822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,821.76 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 50c | 3,907$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,948.49 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 44c | 3,600$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.96 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x250b…9cb5backed Yes | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab19…4876backed No | 42c | 3,357$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,947.28 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked No | 46c | 3,339$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,801.62 | 229 | 59.4%136 W · 93 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 52c | 3,000$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.42 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked No | 45c | 2,920$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.83 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 44c | 2,708$1,192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,516.59 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 55c | 2,607$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,170.77 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 56c | 2,501$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400.39 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Yes | 50c | 2,500$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249.09 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a30…b575backed No | 43c | 2,500$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 46c | 2,466$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.41 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 52c | 2,227$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.36 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 39c | 2,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 223 | 37.2%83 W · 140 L | +20.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.98 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f2…f486backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,139.93 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +156.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 55c | 2,000$1,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.1 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 55c | 1,884$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.2 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 77c | 1,829$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.56 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1280…6b24backed Yes | 57c | 1,743$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaaef…a883backed Yes | 57c | 1,737$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdf…ec4bbacked Yes | 57c | 1,500$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 45c | 1,500$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…db16backed Yes | 57c | 1,378$786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Yes | 44c | 1,281$567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.17 | 103 | 66%68 W · 35 L | +12.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Yes | 55c | 1,273$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 54c | 1,194$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.66 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x70af…26fdbacked No | 43c | 1,167$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.91 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 1,095$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.65 | 287 | 54.7%157 W · 130 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 22c | 1,057$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.04 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed No | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed No | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…0964backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +79.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed No | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 331 | 49.5%164 W · 167 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked No | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.99 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed No | 43c | 999.98$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.99 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9d…35f8backed Yes | 37c | 909.43$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed No | 64c | 870.54$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.42 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 12c | 859.89$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.45 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 56c | 851.26$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.7 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 39c | 832.26$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Yes | 54c | 822.22$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 142 | 26.8%38 W · 104 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x101c…24a9backed Yes | 45c | 724.58$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 33c | 649.31$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.7 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf32…aecbbacked Yes | 35c | 604.47$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.36 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 44c | 600$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes | 23c | 598.11$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.53 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed No | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 247 | 32.4%80 W · 167 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed No | 44c | 568.18$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.18 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 47cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 58c | 546$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.44 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc190…02aebacked Yes | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Yes | 57c | 540.18$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.9 | 78 | 64.1%50 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 75c | 531$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 46c | 530.55$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.11 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1543…623cbacked Yes | 54c | 505.56$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4dde…af75backed Yes | 54c | 500$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 53c | 500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50d8…3318backed Yes | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 45c | 498.97$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.2 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes | 57c | 495.91$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 58c | 492.7$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 47c | 491.97$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.46 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4537…491dbacked Yes | 57c | 487.72$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked Yes | 57c | 485.96$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Yes | 54c | 481.48$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 57c | 477.26$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.04 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -6.7wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 49c | 440.82$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.82 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a23…fd22backed Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 360 | 38.1%137 W · 223 L | -15.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa905…b611backed Yes | 23c | 431.42$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 62c | 425.06$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.85 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Yes | 47c | 425$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf4…8f44backed Yes | 57c | 418.75$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed No | 44c | 417$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.52 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?this page
- Will Poland vs. Netherlands end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Poland win on 2025-11-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.