TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf97e…da44

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
42
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: NBA, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 58 out of 100; worst Token Launches at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST1154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+75.4%+$42.23
Will Solana dip to $120 before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+42.9%+$9.58
Will Solana dip to $110 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$41.19
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$158.45
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$871Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.5%+$413.63
Will Bitcoin dip to $84,000 November 24-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$57.82
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 17-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$791Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+25%+$197.81
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 November 17-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST+270.4%+$502.42
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$217.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$222.04
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$576Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+134.3%+$773.03
All 11 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick57cpaid+70.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Jan 4, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Buccaneersbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$105.38
Patriots vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$12.78
Ravens vs. Packersbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$723Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$723.28
Cowboys vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$25.28
All 4 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Denmark win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$18.56
Will Scotland win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+257.1%+$30.37
Will Netherlands win on 2025-11-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$285.47
All 3 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Nov 28, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+58.5%+$1,520.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Chelsea FC vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+31.6%+$6.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$24.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$357.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 22, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,026Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$2,026.28
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.