Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0dcf1900e17680e886a02f0c5fc3129fa82b5ef66a59abb384421c26589d0434
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $590,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $594,936
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $590,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 52c | 70,078$36,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,692.49 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 55c | 30,215$16,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,740.42 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 30c | 23,028$6,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,898.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…6c9dbacked No | 67c | 19,961$13,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,387.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 45c | 16,340$7,321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,018.41 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 4c | 15,542$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,911.65 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 46c | 15,094$6,957 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,137 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866b…b082backed No | 11c | 8,853$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 3c | 6,570$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,369.43 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 78c | 6,330$4,923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.77 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2791…60fcbacked No | 71c | 6,000$4,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 72c | 5,790$4,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.56 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfae8…03cdbacked No | 59c | 5,782$3,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 22c | 4,903$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.86 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 65c | 4,524$2,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 4c | 4,203$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,052.94 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 44c | 3,591$1,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028.84 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 33c | 3,356$1,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,108.56 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…ee4ebacked No | 44c | 3,343$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,480.44 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 26c | 2,990$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.43 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 58c | 2,798$1,629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.1 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f20…00debacked No | 63c | 2,674$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,679.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 48c | 2,378$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.83 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f9b…f652backed No | 47c | 2,113$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3d…1a1abacked Yes | 61c | 2,060$1,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 48c | 1,790$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.91 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 34c | 1,750$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.54 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e0…b240backed No | 63c | 1,688$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057.13 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -74.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2615…c16dbacked No | 49c | 1,667$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$821.74 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -8.8wins | -0.21per pick | 64cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcd33…cf51backed No | 76c | 1,619$1,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223.62 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae10…cb8bbacked No | 56c | 1,571$876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.22 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…1c7abacked Yes | 77c | 1,361$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.68 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 66cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 43c | 1,349$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773.03 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd357…eb57backed No | 60c | 1,277$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 1,274$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.29 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 66c | 1,237$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.94 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 3c | 1,200$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.4 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…4d0ebacked No | 24c | 1,200$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.4 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa979…8f74backed No | 73c | 1,131$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 25c | 1,085$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$810.48 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…8aa4backed Yes | 55c | 1,000$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked No | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked No | 11c | 877.36$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 54c | 871.47$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.11 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x455f…bd63backed No | 44c | 822.75$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cd…f566backed Yes | 3c | 784.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.62 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 10cpaid | +105%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8633…90c6backed Yes | 6c | 772.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.31 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 5cpaid | +157.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d7f…d718backed No | 69c | 725.69$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 41c | 693.29$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.22 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6819…3108backed Yes | 73c | 689.23$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93a5…3551backed No | 33c | 668$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b0…35adbacked No | 49c | 594$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.29 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…52c0backed Yes | 4c | 577.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.9 | 64 | 7.8%5 W · 59 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0d3…dfcdbacked No | 61c | 564.05$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0127…1230backed Yes | 45c | 555.58$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 58c | 543.87$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 7c | 543.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.02 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef7…e75dbacked Yes | 9c | 530$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +960%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…d1a5backed Yes | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c374backed Yes | 34c | 474.5$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.02 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…d99bbacked No | 70c | 449.38$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…c85abacked Yes | 68c | 441$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked No | 58c | 432.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad45…b8c9backed No | 17c | 422.1$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 7.5%7 W · 86 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -56.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed Yes | 41c | 417.57$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.7 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed No | 27c | 399.98$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.88 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 55c | 399.95$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.97 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…c1dcbacked Yes | 55c | 397.62$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.8 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Yes | 53c | 392.74$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.8 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b5…bbb2backed No | 33c | 390.49$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed No | 73c | 388.08$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.85 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8b…e99fbacked No | 20c | 374.02$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.64 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfc…7784backed No | 72c | 341.76$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9645…6c49backed No | 73c | 300$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73ce…ba6bbacked No | 56c | 300$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 23c | 292.68$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.59 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Yes | 17c | 291.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.68 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd68…05f5backed No | 68c | 279.55$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…9ad7backed Yes | 36c | 271.96$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfcba…d962backed No | 26c | 267.7$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a39abacked No | 51c | 262.14$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed Yes | 78c | 260$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xab26…9656backed Yes | 59c | 259.99$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed Yes | 76c | 257.54$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked Yes | 78c | 254.49$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…c0adbacked Yes | 40c | 251.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…97d2backed Yes | 57c | 248.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2cb…4c6cbacked No | 23c | 247.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe585…91b5backed No | 65c | 232.37$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.54 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x482b…3266backed Yes | 24c | 221.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f619backed No | 69c | 220$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb9…b55ebacked No | 70c | 213.77$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.71 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked No | 37c | 207.67$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x226d…f49ebacked Yes | 37c | 204.36$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +172.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…5adbbacked Yes | 80c | 200$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…b066backed No | 71c | 200$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed Yes | 45c | 200$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x637d…2392backed Yes | 78c | 200$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +13.9wins | +0.20per pick | 29cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xb1bc…bd81backed Yes | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +145%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.