Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdfb473bb36c6840e9087befca6ccb922bff4e9c7ccdf5f1189ffab808077ddb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $622,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $622,946
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $622,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 16c | 45,603$7,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.51 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 18c | 14,533$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,676.7 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf632…02aabacked Yes | 4c | 13,927$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.44 | 73 | 21.9%16 W · 57 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 23c | 13,472$3,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,111.73 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9821…6c9dbacked No | 59c | 13,136$7,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,321.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97bc…30cdbacked Yes | 8c | 12,388$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$994.31 | 67 | 23.9%16 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +111.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf371…9812backed Yes | 18c | 12,001$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.89 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01dd…f8bbbacked Yes | 6c | 9,049$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.93 | 119 | 8.4%10 W · 109 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 5cpaid | +90.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed Yes | 8c | 8,728$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.88 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed No | 76c | 8,118$6,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,956.46 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 23c | 6,535$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,533.37 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe590…b056backed Yes | 2c | 6,327$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.72 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9722…5304backed No | 73c | 5,769$4,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.73 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 8c | 4,869$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.3 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 17c | 3,865$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.49 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked No | 78c | 3,750$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834.7 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4fd…6cc0backed Yes | 3c | 3,742$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.42 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 8c | 3,202$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.41 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf61f…3ce1backed Yes | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 137 | 9.5%13 W · 124 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa133…b362backed Yes | 5c | 3,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed No | 78c | 2,612$2,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.99 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa00d…b5a9backed No | 60c | 2,500$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ba…ce65backed Yes | 3c | 2,022$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba51…ff35backed Yes | 17c | 1,900$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.8 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1802…d00fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,681$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 28cpaid | -75%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf97e…da44backed Yes | 16c | 1,393$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…4635backed No | 80c | 1,257$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +88.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed No | 76c | 1,200$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 19c | 1,198$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.39 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fee…eda2backed No | 60c | 1,100$662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.6 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 66c | 1,042$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.2 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd980…5be0backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 112 | 10.7%12 W · 100 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +120.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x131b…4d0ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed Yes | 9c | 927.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.27 | 38 | 2.6%1 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 914.17$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.16 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0225…ee4ebacked Yes | 17c | 895.54$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4567…b970backed Yes | 10c | 852.74$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…c374backed Yes | 11c | 810$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.49 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…24cabacked Yes | 3c | 800$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…89edbacked No | 54c | 800$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.8 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a0…8f62backed No | 59c | 752$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…02dfbacked Yes | 8c | 730.98$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbfe…c0adbacked Yes | 14c | 704.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 38cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a39abacked Yes | 14c | 702$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…a6f2backed No | 75c | 674.75$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a4…0e24backed Yes | 7c | 661.27$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…604ebacked Yes | 27c | 659.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.4 | 172 | 29.7%51 W · 121 L | -13.0wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…b99cbacked Yes | 8c | 593.31$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -81.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked Yes | 13c | 572.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.89 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd64…ce44backed Yes | 20c | 557.69$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Yes | 15c | 527.13$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.44 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa003…5645backed Yes | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd769…f90cbacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 195 | 35.4%69 W · 126 L | -13.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64c5…feeabacked No | 75c | 499.99$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 26c | 432.19$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.43 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…2a2abacked Yes | 19c | 404$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57f0…d33dbacked Yes | 5c | 383.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.28 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -84.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc84…81edbacked Yes | 3c | 350$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc36d…99ebbacked Yes | 9c | 324.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f8…f4cbbacked Yes | 3c | 308.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x363a…df44backed No | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.02 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…fe88backed Yes | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e60…cbfdbacked Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | -7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bb…97d2backed No | 77c | 280$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +52.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb02b…f2c8backed Yes | 37c | 268.04$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 77c | 248.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.01 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90f7…02bcbacked Yes | 16c | 246.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e3…79abbacked No | 53c | 225.14$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +87.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe0…266fbacked Yes | 6c | 221.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…d3a3backed Yes | 16c | 216.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x852a…3188backed No | 78c | 214$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf350…f3ffbacked Yes | 11c | 209.75$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca0…d4c7backed Yes | 8c | 203.93$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84e8…d6c3backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x214c…eb00backed No | 75c | 194.97$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.09 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…0b02backed No | 63c | 183.42$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeea…c1dcbacked Yes | 30c | 169$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.37 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71b1…ac2cbacked Yes | 19c | 167.49$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8616…3496backed Yes | 11c | 160.17$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.37 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b9…c294backed No | 75c | 160$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…0f0bbacked Yes | 31c | 159.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd18c…4d47backed Yes | 34c | 147.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +31%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386e…3463backed Yes | 10c | 142.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7bde…8c91backed No | 72c | 137.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.93 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 39cpaid | +150.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb0db…07bdbacked Yes | 15c | 134.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1451…85ddbacked Yes | 8c | 133.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe712…4e34backed Yes | 27c | 132.31$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.58 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1c…da2bbacked No | 79c | 126.42$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc73…80b4backed Yes | 29c | 120.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc64e…9ad7backed Yes | 23c | 119.02$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…5139backed Yes | 10c | 117.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18fd…53efbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3853…1e58backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc43…ca48backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8b…b553backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed No | 57c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed No | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd99…8b4bbacked Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce8…8161backed Yes | 12c | 99.42$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x760a…7409backed Yes | 32c | 90$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.