Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29d34d10f60c9c44e9dcbb8f8eac40d810476b892ec94d5483472a03cee04de4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $221,671
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $227,276
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $221,671 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa94a…fbe8backed No | 40c | 20,962$8,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,423.35 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a92…071ebacked Yes | 58c | 19,283$11,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,117.66 | 30 | 76.7%23 W · 7 L | +9.0wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed Yes | 53c | 16,244$8,576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,667.9 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 43c | 9,060$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,179.22 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd643…0dd4backed No | 32c | 6,640$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,117.33 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x707e…1960backed Yes | 45c | 5,401$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,970.95 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked No | 42c | 5,000$2,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,100 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…73e6backed No | 55c | 4,917$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,682.56 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10fb…c66cbacked Yes | 56c | 4,329$2,431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,897.32 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1c…963ebacked Yes | 68c | 3,807$2,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,211.7 | 550 | 32.5%179 W · 371 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…267ebacked No | 17c | 3,440$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.62 | 94 | 27.7%26 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes | 62c | 3,069$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8666…d7c7backed Yes | 30c | 2,131$642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,489.11 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…51d4backed No | 42c | 1,724$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$724.13 | 80 | 38.8%31 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…3574backed Yes | 31c | 1,618$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,114.27 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…4064backed No | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 172 | 31.4%54 W · 118 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3860…6ae1backed No | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983f…c67ebacked Yes | 74c | 1,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 14 | 100%14 W · 0 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe9…bb0abacked Yes | 28c | 1,000$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 167 | 29.3%49 W · 118 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41d…8fe1backed Yes | 25c | 999.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +100%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…35c9backed No | 28c | 984.13$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 51c | 863.3$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.17 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 48c | 703.88$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.17 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f3…f7e3backed No | 40c | 549.28$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2da…ef1cbacked No | 58c | 527.59$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 499.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 98 | 24.5%24 W · 74 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ee2…46e1backed Yes | 37c | 471.66$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.88 | 406 | 43.3%176 W · 230 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 26c | 434.9$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.97 | 648 | 12%78 W · 570 L | -61.6wins | -0.10per pick | 22cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x116b…d502backed Yes | 35c | 385.71$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +185.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf587…de7fbacked No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d3debacked No | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb62…a903backed No | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…a64bbacked Yes | 39c | 250$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x646c…3210backed No | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6af…60fabacked No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf3…eac3backed Yes | 49c | 195.6$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.76 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +174.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked Yes | 67c | 189.44$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 262 | 74.4%195 W · 67 L | +45.7wins | +0.17per pick | 57cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…4fb6backed No | 51c | 172.55$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…09c1backed Yes | 34c | 170$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f1…5743backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc364…f047backed Yes | 76c | 150.28$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.07 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4f…e983backed Yes | 76c | 146.95$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.27 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x536d…2185backed Yes | 76c | 146.59$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…6549backed Yes | 76c | 145.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…c85abacked Yes | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7369…a7bfbacked Yes | 76c | 144.71$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.73 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c71…4215backed Yes | 76c | 144.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe52d…3728backed Yes | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…026dbacked No | 65c | 140$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bc…398bbacked Yes | 80c | 132.18$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfca4…3fe6backed No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2231…680ebacked Yes | 34c | 130$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 61c | 125$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e73…d43fbacked Yes | 23c | 125$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45dd…1e20backed No | 52c | 120$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1feb…92b7backed No | 47c | 119.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbeaa…1efbbacked Yes | 78c | 113.73$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.02 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d4…9de2backed Yes | 78c | 103.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6954…abcbbacked Yes | 80c | 101.3$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cd…1d88backed Yes | 78c | 100.81$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6740…6834backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a20…af22backed Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x534d…a7d3backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68 | 57 | 66.7%38 W · 19 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…3c50backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f6b…e4bebacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0e…a9c8backed No | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc774…b6e8backed No | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8141…7e4bbacked Yes | 79c | 99.6$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dec…af2cbacked Yes | 58c | 92.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +98.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2771…de46backed No | 34c | 85.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561c…f2f9backed Yes | 80c | 80.45$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.09 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…0770backed Yes | 38c | 78.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…ae37backed No | 14c | 76.91$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2e…d0cdbacked Yes | 65c | 70.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…e0cbbacked Yes | 78c | 65.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…4dd3backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x154f…9a12backed No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x92d3…5ee5backed Yes | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb8…2a2abacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…7c9abacked No | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac3…df62backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…266dbacked No | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x398b…0538backed Yes | 37c | 48.54$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d04…5f7abacked Yes | 67c | 44.76$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +98.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7489…4c80backed No | 54c | 42.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +101.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8752…52c2backed Yes | 72c | 42.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1a…225ebacked No | 65c | 40.66$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4a…a055backed No | 52c | 39.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…c2bcbacked No | 66c | 37.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a5a…26b8backed Yes | 37c | 34.14$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 41c | 32.82$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.42 | 53 | 24.5%13 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 21cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bb…919bbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a9e…b171backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa805…7bacbacked Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7425…f372backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x267b…d065backed No | 70c | 25.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4431…3326backed No | 73c | 24.48$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.87 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd812…e132backed No | 73c | 18.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $102,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $104,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $92,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $96,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $108,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $112,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $114,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $116,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $118,000 November 10-16?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 November 10-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.