TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc9e3…93f2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
465
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 59 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT20245.5%92 W · 110 L-9.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 202 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,111.66
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20,637Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,637.28
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+33.2%+$23.44
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$349.65
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,452Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+89.2%+$1,295.13
Will France win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$274.21
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+88.4%+$113.22
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.46
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.29
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+170.5%+$304.93
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$288Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+77.6%+$223.53
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$123.17
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$633Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+45.8%+$290.06
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.12
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.31
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$197.99
France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.42
Will Argentina vs. Switzerland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+132.5%+$28.73
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.79
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,249.89
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.58
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$337.85
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$742Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40%+$296.75
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$539.79
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.07
Showing 25 of 202 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$21.86
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.91
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$282.05
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.74
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+83.8%+$9.41
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+257%+$34.36
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSIbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$10.24
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+53.6%+$19.15
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+164.7%+$63.34
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$17.85
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$46.2
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$86.73
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+159%+$68.23
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$87.42
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.21
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-Inbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+57.5%+$9.7
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+42%+$6.95
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+37.7%+$8.08
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$24.55
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$41.49
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$36.14
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT6248.4%30 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$246Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+105.5%+$259.61
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,041.69
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.91
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.18
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$35.55
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.58
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+49.8%+$12.35
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.37
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$425Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.91
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$274Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+143.6%+$393.02
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$385.55
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+59.4%+$24.15
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+48.7%+$6.35
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$20.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.06
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$49.19
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.64
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.86
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.38
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.15
Timberwolves vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+27.6%+$14.22
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$18.15
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT4259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.01
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25%+$39.49
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$90.37
Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.57
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. AFC Bournemouth end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+139.2%+$144.71
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$34.55
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$282Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+41%+$115.76
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+297%+$418.64
Will Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+188.1%+$242.7
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$13.96
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$79.06
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.93
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+147.2%+$163.22
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.49
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.2%+$99.58
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+74%+$144.3
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$47.33
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.79
Will West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.88
West Ham United FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$54.34
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.34
Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$13.91
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2035%7 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-40.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 27-August 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.75
BNB all time high by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$377Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+59.8%+$225.29
Will BNB hit $1500 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$2,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+34.7%+$871.71
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$209.68
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$456Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$456.25
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$96.83
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$22.96
Will Solana reach $190 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$29.9
Will Ethereum reach $4,200 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$144.72
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+36.3%+$45.34
Will Ethereum dip to $2,800 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$47.56
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,383Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$2,383.29
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$835Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$835.09
Will Solana dip to $130 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$135.71
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$61.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,629Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+71.8%+$1,169.1
Will Bitcoin dip to $95,000 in November?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$231.06
Will Solana dip to $140 in November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+31%+$11.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $98,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$821Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+194.7%+$1,597.84
Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 November 10-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,896Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+61.9%+$1,172.69
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT137.7%1 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-79.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.38
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$248.46
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.39
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$400.94
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$5,809Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,808.87
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$1,832Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,832.41
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$21.27
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$32,646.72
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$7,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+170.5%+$11,978.76
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the October meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.32
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.17
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.42
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.46
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$58.84
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$4,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,478.17
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$619Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$618.71
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.91
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$140.72
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+59.3%+$8.11
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.58
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$26.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.94
Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$46.15
All 11 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Sentinels vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked KRÜ Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$21.12
Valorant: Bilibili Gaming vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.62
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Trace Esports (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Trace Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$41.92
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Alphabacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+53%+$174.75
Valorant: Fnatic vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$36.85
Valorant: JD Gaming vs FunPlus Phoenix (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$425Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$130.37
Valorant: Nova Esports vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT China Group Omegabacked Nova Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.94
Valorant: TEC Esports vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+61%+$44.96
All 8 picks, newest first.
La Ligalast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick69cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+70.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid+13%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$10.68
Miami Marlins vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.47
Athletics vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.06
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$4,594Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+51.7%+$2,376.75
All 4 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 4, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennislast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monterrey Open: Lilli Tagger vs Yulia Starodubtsevabacked Yulia Starodubtseva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$6.81
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzicbacked Lois Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$211Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$210.68
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$179.47
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.08
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.