Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c28d053d164caa780e7264512950d437e67ac4d338692bb15151ab143d601f9

Rebuilt 21 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: May 24, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $34,817
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $40,351

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,817 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over	7c	9,445$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.05	4,744	41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf0f7…0c5abacked Over	34c	2,696$917 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$916.68	61	39.3%24 W · 37 L	-3.6wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under	63c	2,569$1,610 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$958.41	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under	38c	1,500$570 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$930	60	58.3%35 W · 25 L	+11.0wins	+0.18per pick	40cpaid	+45.6%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over	38c	1,339$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$507.38	886	35.8%317 W · 569 L	-13.8wins	-0.02per pick	37cpaid	-17%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under	30c	1,001$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$701.1	81	16%13 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Over	58c	637.99$369 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$368.76	97	33%32 W · 65 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdfcd…36dfbacked Over	61c	622.21$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.21	17	52.9%9 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under	56c	495.9$280 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.33	746	44.8%334 W · 412 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over	35c	465.47$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.64	578	33%191 W · 387 L	-29.9wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under	39c	438.67$170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$268.67	126	52.4%66 W · 60 L	+10.3wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	+11.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under	62c	402.51$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$152.89	106	34%36 W · 70 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under	64c	355.58$226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$129.11	721	42.7%308 W · 413 L	+15.2wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Over	37c	206.77$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.55	365	45.2%165 W · 200 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed Over	60c	200$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	184	49.5%91 W · 93 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under	40c	187.99$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.79	1,220	49.8%607 W · 613 L	+4.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Over	64c	156.25$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1213…776fbacked Over	58c	124.05$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.95	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.08per pick	51cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Under	38c	116.14$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.13	105	34.3%36 W · 69 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-12.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over	58c	86.21$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	47cpaid	+22.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7736…c991backed Over	60c	80$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	21	47.6%10 W · 11 L	-2.1wins	-0.10per pick	58cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Over	17c	76.45$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	13	53.8%7 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	45cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over	17c	74.6$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.68	188	51.6%97 W · 91 L	+13.2wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+13.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under	61c	64.44$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.13	25	56%14 W · 11 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9e7…4697backed Under	64c	60$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.6	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Under	37c	59.11$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$37.02	54	57.4%31 W · 23 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over	59c	59$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.81	101	47.5%48 W · 53 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under	42c	53.43$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	226	44.2%100 W · 126 L	+12.4wins	+0.05per pick	39cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over	50c	50$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.07per pick	46cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9b5…1212backed Under	57c	49.12$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.12	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc978…706bbacked Over	56c	48.39$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.1	63	38.1%24 W · 39 L	-5.8wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd28e…a78fbacked Over	62c	48.39$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	83	62.7%52 W · 31 L	+5.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under	42c	45$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.91	413	43.3%179 W · 234 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7b18…dd26backed Over	39c	43.09$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.81	26	46.2%12 W · 14 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over	38c	42.07$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.17	226	45.6%103 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Over	60c	41.67$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	55.9%99 W · 78 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	62c	40.32$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	144	31.9%46 W · 98 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Over	53c	40$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.2	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	63c	38.65$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.24	543	40.5%220 W · 323 L	+4.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under	52c	38.01$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.43	1,934	42.4%820 W · 1,114 L	-43.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-18%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17d6…f1e2backed Under	35c	34.59$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.48	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.08per pick	41cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under	40c	34.56$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.8	418	50.7%212 W · 206 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over	30c	33.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	86	59.3%51 W · 35 L	+4.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Under	60c	33.33$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.33	50	50%25 W · 25 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd30…a9a4backed Over	63c	31.75$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.1wins	-0.28per pick	53cpaid	-56.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over	63c	31.62$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.92	45	55.6%25 W · 20 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under	40c	31.42$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.85	117	50.4%59 W · 58 L	+3.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+16.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e70…14babacked Under	35c	30.77$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	44cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over	65c	30.77$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	92	65.2%60 W · 32 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ed3…50fdbacked Under	54c	27.55$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.55	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec94…9053backed Under	73c	27.07$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.27	5	100%5 W · 0 L	+1.4wins	+0.29per pick	71cpaid	+42%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under	42c	26$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.16	204	40.7%83 W · 121 L	-4.4wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fa1…bf73backed Over	59c	25$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	95	49.5%47 W · 48 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8684…bfaabacked Under	41c	24.49$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.45	27	37%10 W · 17 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…3a2abacked Under	76c	23$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.52	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-3.0wins	-0.43per pick	72cpaid	-62.4%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over	49c	22.07$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.91	117	12%14 W · 103 L	-8.1wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over	63c	20.94$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.19	395	55.9%221 W · 174 L	+17.3wins	+0.04per pick	52cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Under	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	198	34.8%69 W · 129 L	-17.3wins	-0.09per pick	44cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under	70c	19.66$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.9	220	57.7%127 W · 93 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over	61c	16.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	167	53.3%89 W · 78 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over	61c	16.75$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.22	406	55.2%224 W · 182 L	+12.9wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Over	76c	16.54$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.49	42	59.5%25 W · 17 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	55cpaid	+15.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5this page
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event