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Premier League · resolved market

Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$19,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7138…8c89backed No36c1,859$678 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,181.3122049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes28c1,429$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40023832.4%77 W · 161 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c1,418$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$397.54,87441.5%2,021 W · 2,853 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a1…7833backed No78c1,282$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.691154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes64c1,018$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.562,60647.7%1,242 W · 1,364 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed No36c1,000$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-42.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed No36c953.69$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$608.933043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Yes63c833$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.7921056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes64c726.07$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.6965244.6%291 W · 361 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed No37c679.82$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.8211437.7%43 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes62c649.53$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.7196843.8%424 W · 544 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Yes66c604.1$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4002466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xde0f…ddd3backed Yes62c484.03$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed No37c454.74$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.775635.7%20 W · 36 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked No36c419.93$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.9312652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes64c383.73$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.5958551.6%302 W · 283 L-1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes15c336.18$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0266032.9%217 W · 443 L-32.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Yes66c303.03$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002035%7 W · 13 L-3.5wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes62c300$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18712562.4%78 W · 47 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Yes68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No34c234.67$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3164347.7%307 W · 336 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+9.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb166…3105backed No38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12418449.5%91 W · 93 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0f6…4892backed Yes65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84fd…2f81backed No40c150$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$903336.4%12 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed No37c149.98$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4910147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes31c119.75$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.666,21745.6%2,834 W · 3,383 L-33.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No34c111.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.79733%32 W · 65 L-0.4wins0.00per pick33cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed No33c100.1$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.97742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked No35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Yes62c99.99$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.996053.3%32 W · 28 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a9a…a9c7backed Yes61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No34c86$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.761,70752.8%902 W · 805 L+31.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01b6…48ccbacked Yes63c80$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa5b…9b61backed No38c78.84$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.882528%7 W · 18 L-3.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-29.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0a21…50d3backed Yes63c63.68$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011846.6%55 W · 63 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-8.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes63c55.56$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3517755.9%99 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No34c50$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335457.4%31 W · 23 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe569…e759backed Yes65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305050%25 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6780…41ccbacked Yes66c45.45$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301850%9 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+11%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Yes63c40$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.22055%11 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4711…ce32backed Yes65c40$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261650%8 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes50c36$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812854.7%70 W · 58 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed No37c32.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.865259.6%31 W · 21 L+2.9wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No33c32.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6874150.9%377 W · 364 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5db…f982backed Yes65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012741.7%53 W · 74 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4633…48f1backed Yes62c29.98$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.741361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeaa2…6886backed Yes34c29.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Yes66c22.05$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.527552.7%145 W · 130 L-1.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd020…6793backed Yes63c19.05$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x07ca…e577backed Yes66c18$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes62c17.9$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.11,08045.2%488 W · 592 L-19.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2698…2941backed No74c17.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.362060%12 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3709…e624backed Yes61c17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.37560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd650…bbd5backed Yes68c15.15$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.