Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x447115f85dd4ca07e50d0d0582e2a5700d19e78891ea56cb404490b43ec174f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,604
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,448
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,604 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 11,093$7,817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,275.69 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b75…433bbacked Over | 43c | 5,780$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 39c | 3,424$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351.41 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed Over | 30c | 3,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 58c | 3,303$1,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,371.31 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 43c | 1,784$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.93 | 543 | 40.5%220 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 57c | 1,100$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.5 | 698 | 51.1%357 W · 341 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Under | 64c | 940.39$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.39 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Over | 26c | 598.42$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.73 | 97 | 33%32 W · 65 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 57c | 550$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 809 | 53.6%434 W · 375 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 13c | 548.85$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.69 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under | 60c | 496.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.04 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 72c | 353.39$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Over | 40c | 315.49$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.2 | 136 | 33.8%46 W · 90 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12df…090dbacked Over | 43c | 309.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 40c | 267$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.23 | 1,012 | 33.2%336 W · 676 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d63…2e49backed Under | 53c | 200$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17d6…f1e2backed Under | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Under | 59c | 173.88$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.79 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Under | 58c | 161.45$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.3 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 36c | 139.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.06 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 58c | 135.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.86 | 144 | 63.2%91 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 68c | 127.65$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.7 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 76c | 108.22$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.03 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 57c | 105$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 335 | 51.3%172 W · 163 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Under | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 157 | 38.9%61 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 292 | 50%146 W · 146 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 38c | 81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 1,615 | 53%856 W · 759 L | +33.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…6eebbacked Under | 62c | 80.62$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.64 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.28per pick | 59cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 31.9%46 W · 98 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 41c | 60.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Over | 37c | 59.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.01 | 105 | 34.3%36 W · 69 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over | 48c | 57.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked Over | 48c | 57.27$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Over | 39c | 52.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 173 | 39.9%69 W · 104 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 768 | 42.6%327 W · 441 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d70…d0a6backed Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 51c | 34.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -6.8wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 69c | 29.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 220 | 57.7%127 W · 93 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…a78fbacked Over | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 57c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda9…f624backed Under | 57c | 23.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.01 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Under | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 177 | 55.9%99 W · 78 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Under | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Under | 66c | 18.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.26 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.18per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…6a0bbacked Under | 69c | 18.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 184 | 63%116 W · 68 L | +10.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed Under | 63c | 17.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.53 | 70 | 60%42 W · 28 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc311…c154backed Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.