Premier League · resolved market
Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9373b5fca11364220068f5e5db48114ded79f633757a2a71b05ea6d27ebac2bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $62,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $62,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa87d…e4bfbacked Under | 17c | 36,620$6,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,233.86 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 76c | 8,653$6,574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,078.89 | 886 | 35.8%317 W · 569 L | -13.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under | 9c | 3,248$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 81 | 16%13 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…74babacked Over | 56c | 1,250$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 149 | 75.8%113 W · 36 L | +26.0wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 72c | 1,152$826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.76 | 578 | 33%191 W · 387 L | -29.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56ff…81a0backed Over | 68c | 1,111$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.52 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 62cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…c830backed Over | 65c | 546$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.87 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 56c | 527.9$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.31 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +10.9wins | +0.30per pick | 42cpaid | +99.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e7…4697backed Under | 11c | 410$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 76 | 52.6%40 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Over | 79c | 219$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Under | 20c | 215.2$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.96 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Over | 78c | 195.29$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.29 | 25 | 80%20 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 53c | 165.8$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.27 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +21.4wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 13c | 138.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 966 | 45.4%439 W · 527 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 69c | 135.88$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 365 | 45.2%165 W · 200 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc582…853cbacked Under | 13c | 119.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 76c | 108.08$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 10c | 105$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da4…f0a4backed Under | 15c | 102.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 44 | 11.4%5 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa2d…d35bbacked Over | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 54c | 91.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.87 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc551…fa51backed Over | 71c | 89.22$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.14 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86df…2cacbacked Under | 38c | 88.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 80c | 80.25$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 86 | 59.3%51 W · 35 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68d1…f166backed Under | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Under | 15c | 70$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 56.9%33 W · 25 L | +5.0wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…bb9bbacked Over | 72c | 54.07$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 43.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Over | 55c | 42.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f0…6fb4backed Over | 80c | 21.89$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.38 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fulham FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)Newcastle United FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Fulham FC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Fulham FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.