TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,835
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$119,128

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,835 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 154 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcd65…ee96backed Yes29c15,745$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,244.951526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No45c8,151$3,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,701.57044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes68c5,700$3,886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,813.9175542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No71c4,902$3,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,496.881234.7%282 W · 530 L-24.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed No72c2,500$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8005242.3%22 W · 30 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-21.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No73c2,413$1,762 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,761.831,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed No71c2,368$1,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,681.289254.3%50 W · 42 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No71c2,270$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,621.8355351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc66a…ed6abacked No80c1,875$1,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,494.63253.1%17 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5a…0122backed Yes27c1,852$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,351.852339.1%9 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+31.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d46…3e2dbacked Yes20c1,758$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.372821.4%6 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick14cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No38c1,502$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.654132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c1,386$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.594,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…1d43backed No51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103732.4%12 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick21cpaid+97.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes55c999.99$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No65c994.64$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.076,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes41c957.89$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.9674644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes28c940.62$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.5619239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed No71c839.43$596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5968756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No71c799.94$572 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.9525544.7%114 W · 141 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed No72c797.32$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.5826444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6e3…3fe8backed Yes27c740$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.25335.8%19 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x180a…54a6backed Yes28c728.82$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.752133.3%7 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c655.48$472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.9441850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No63c595.55$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.8453344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed No71c566.8$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.434862.5%30 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c550$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.569651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a6…6991backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.82728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid+1.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No71c504$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.842,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x040d…1a5ebacked No77c434.14$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.293650%18 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No56c418.98$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.3757150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b97…3f54backed Yes24c416.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.673435.3%12 W · 22 L+3.1wins+0.09per pick26cpaid+41%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d74…f2abbacked Yes75c401.17$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.17650%3 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-27.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6c3…55a3backed Yes24c400$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3041050%5 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked No73c399.95$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.9714654.8%80 W · 66 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes28c392.86$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.8653134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Yes28c357.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick29cpaid+124.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No54c354.7$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.281,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes74c350.72$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.477050%35 W · 35 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-25.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3089…92f6backed No51c334$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.364223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-25.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked No71c320$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.27261.1%44 W · 28 L+5.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes66c306.06$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.061225%3 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes66c303.75$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.7518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x555b…c93dbacked Yes77c283.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.912737%10 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-45%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes40c274.57$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.744156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7a7…55bebacked Yes28c250$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6aa1…a420backed Yes24c250$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1907931.6%25 W · 54 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed No74c244.74$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.8769742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No72c230$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.627752.3%145 W · 132 L+8.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes27c215.32$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1153240%213 W · 319 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+3.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No51c207.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.695839.7%23 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes26c206.95$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.147427%20 W · 54 L+0.3wins0.00per pick27cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes58c206.9$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes54c205.53$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.533342.4%14 W · 19 L-4.6wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-30.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a16…5f47backed No73c200$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14611850%59 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xffff…4413backed No38c200$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.9215249.3%75 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked No9c199.99$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187839.7%31 W · 47 L+15.6wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+437.8%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No23c196.67$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.977545.3%34 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No72c191.71$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5484549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8557…6f88backed Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.821154.5%6 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid-17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc1…1efbbacked Yes55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.82425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-54.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50b0…ccc3backed Yes28c178.57$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.575149%25 W · 26 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf16…b3eabacked Yes28c178.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.521127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.41683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Yes24c170.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.31656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+28.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No73c163$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.998666.3%57 W · 29 L+0.4wins0.00per pick66cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x776c…5c84backed Yes27c160.11$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.871450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No75c157.9$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.9722645.6%103 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9e3…93f2backed Yes42c155.81$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.374259.5%25 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+15.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a7a…69c9backed Yes27c148.99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.761145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaab4…5a40backed Yes68c147.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef2c…227dbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+59.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+52.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes56c133.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.042540%10 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6882…6f08backed Yes74c120.62$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.739455.3%52 W · 42 L-9.8wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No76c117.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2720956%117 W · 92 L+15.9wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+24.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes78c117.03$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.0314658.9%86 W · 60 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes26c114.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.637524%18 W · 57 L-6.5wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4552…eac6backed No63c109.38$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.911369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Yes24c108.33$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.336428.1%18 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf61…4d44backed Yes28c107.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.145332.1%17 W · 36 L-5.7wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed No73c106.7$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.8922049.1%108 W · 112 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e9…ab9fbacked No14c105$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9511915.1%18 W · 101 L-10.4wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No72c103.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.829345.2%42 W · 51 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked No43c100.9$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.2516232.1%52 W · 110 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No73c99.99$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.9920958.9%123 W · 86 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa69d…228ebacked Yes25c96.33$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.691643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7350…9dc0backed Yes27c92.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.5918239.6%72 W · 110 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x959e…5d55backed Yes72c77.3$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.37333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-53.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bf…f385backed No73c76.68$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.981376.9%10 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick69cpaid+21.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked No64c75$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485160.8%31 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc8fe…627fbacked Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.076637.9%25 W · 41 L+6.0wins+0.09per pick29cpaid+43.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0374…10e8backed Yes27c74.07$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.73per pick27cpaid+270.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x783b…dc4cbacked No31c73.32$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.598959.6%53 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…471dbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.4325057.6%144 W · 106 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes28c71.43$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.435641.1%23 W · 33 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3bd…c027backed Yes27c70$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+85.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d0c…1249backed No53c69.79$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.99742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-36.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes77c69.28$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.871752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Yes28c69$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.6811750.4%59 W · 58 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.