TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x776c…5c84

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
50
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Burnley FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+270.3%+$116.87
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$21.42
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$34.17
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$27.57
AFC Bournemouth vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.37
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$45.19
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.78
Will Millwall FC win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.48
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.16
Bristol City FC vs. West Bromwich Albion FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.6
Stoke City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+66.7%+$21.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.22
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.20per pick57cpaid-46.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick57cpaid+36.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+135.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-55%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+136.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-05-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+134.1%+$97.52
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$51.99
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Schalke 04 win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$74.18
Will Eintracht Frankfurt win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$22.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.42
Will FK Crvena zvezda vs. Lille OSC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+37%+$12.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked North Carolina State Wolfpack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.62
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 179.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+92.3%+$19.45
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Panthers vs. Oilersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$80.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of May 11 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$46.83
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Beijing Guoan FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$25.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Grizzlies vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$32.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on April 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Verdant vs Bulldog Esports (BO1) - NLC Regular Seasonbacked Bulldog Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.63
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.