South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x80617dba5a1362bc0d8ebed34341c3b2829b02ecedf1ee50963b20cd89519feb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,917
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,768
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,917 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 3,866$2,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,773.17 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 27c | 3,700$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 27c | 1,091$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.09 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 25c | 734.53$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550.89 | 367 | 27%99 W · 268 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 35c | 700.54$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.5 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 27c | 419.89$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.04 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Under | 73c | 369.86$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 95 | 67.4%64 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 55c | 362.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.24 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 72c | 361.11$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 166 | 56%93 W · 73 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 28c | 360.61$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.64 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 56c | 357.32$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.81 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 47c | 316$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.52 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 73c | 314.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.21 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 62c | 265.87$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.6 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 72c | 260.61$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.64 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 216.84$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.27 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 42c | 188.94$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.58 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 61c | 166.96$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 73c | 120$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.6 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…016dbacked Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed Over | 28c | 66.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed Under | 72c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 47c | 58.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 44c | 55.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3108…8a52backed Over | 28c | 53.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.57 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 74c | 52.43$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 70c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9a…436dbacked Over | 59c | 44.1$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…aa4bbacked Under | 75c | 43.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.24 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 37c | 40.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49b9…9613backed Over | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 75c | 32.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…7750backed Under | 74c | 32.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7a…7c83backed Under | 74c | 30.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.3 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 57c | 26.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…94b8backed Under | 73c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d0…1a0fbacked Over | 72c | 24.01$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 60c | 18.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d17…d4dcbacked Under | 74c | 17.84$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 72c | 17.15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.35 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10cd…2da0backed Under | 74c | 15.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.