South American Leagues · resolved market
CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8098d0824513e769f57570abcd996f22ff69c6c6506f132354eee05fe70e8767
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,293
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,293 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 35c | 908.37$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.28 | 108 | 19.4%21 W · 87 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 59c | 760.66$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.72 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 59c | 662.13$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.63 | 297 | 47.1%140 W · 157 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 69c | 416.21$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.74 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 356.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.42 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Over | 28c | 351.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.94 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 34c | 348.8$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.12 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 328.07$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.07 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 32c | 313$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.16 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 39c | 311.4$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Under | 67c | 215$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.35 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 39c | 188.52$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 154.45$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…1d41backed Over | 57c | 145$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.35 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x53eb…90ebbacked Under | 46c | 132.61$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 40c | 113.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 493 | 41%202 W · 291 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…0d47backed Over | 36c | 72.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +4.0wins | +0.25per pick | 44cpaid | +78%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 39c | 61.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.83 | 77 | 42.9%33 W · 44 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -25%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…eb06backed Over | 29c | 50.94$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +73.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 75c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 108 | 62%67 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1af3…fbe3backed Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 37.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0742…86a0backed Over | 36c | 36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Under | 53c | 32.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Under | 60c | 26.98$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Under | 66c | 25.37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd040…4e6bbacked Under | 71c | 17.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 3.5this page
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 1.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 2.5Over won
- CA Huracán vs. CA Belgrano: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Belgrano (-2.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-1.5)CA Huracán won
- Spread: CA Huracán (-2.5)CA Belgrano won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.