Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 179.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16f94f44498a8d0f42f460c26f5f934f6b6c361f95dd40f8eb2fd6add02d2d77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,771
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,333
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,771 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Under | 51c | 9,956$5,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,127.28 | 226 | 45.6%103 W · 123 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,474$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,323.86 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 49c | 5,649$2,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,873.41 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 50c | 4,234$2,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116.82 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 876.89$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.09 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…c650backed Over | 51c | 853.06$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Under | 50c | 495.63$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.81 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 49c | 389.51$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.65 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Over | 51c | 294.99$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.54 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Under | 51c | 275$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.25 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…6dddbacked Under | 53c | 232.95$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.11 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Under | 51c | 219.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…407abacked Under | 49c | 201.81$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Over | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3eb…b057backed Under | 53c | 91.65$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 48c | 79.35$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.09 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…7166backed Under | 49c | 79.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff0b…befabacked Under | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -8.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4855…6a41backed Over | 51c | 58.31$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.57 | 326 | 52.8%172 W · 154 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 58c | 54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.32 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x776c…5c84backed Over | 52c | 40.53$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6b…617cbacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 42c | 34.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f6…1848backed Over | 49c | 30.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 27.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 45c | 26.87$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.78 | 194 | 54.6%106 W · 88 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked Under | 57c | 20.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 179.5this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia BulldogsGeorgia Bulldogs won
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)Georgia Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.