Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d51539ad23bf199cdfeb22f09c242659658370dac53256d583bfec9026ed85d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Georgia Bulldogsof Alabama Crimson Tide, Georgia Bulldogs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,456
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,456 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 18,408$8,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,984.29 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 116 | 52.6%61 W · 55 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 9,035$4,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,338.23 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 1,505$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.75 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 1,303$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 840.58$429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.89 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce1…b62cbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 197.23$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 195$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 176.64$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.79 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d3…2d0fbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 127.45$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.45 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 48c | 123.71$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.38 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…9c06backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 100.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 93.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 96 | 39.6%38 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa528…2499backed Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 61.74$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 293 | 37.2%109 W · 184 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 49c | 48.28$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 42.42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 50c | 39.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0f…48fdbacked Georgia Bulldogs | 51c | 39.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.12 | 265 | 50.6%134 W · 131 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…1207backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 39cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Georgia Bulldogs | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.91 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia BulldogsGeorgia Bulldogs won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 179.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.