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La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$65,620
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$68,649

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $65,620 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8627…5382backed No70c10,000$7,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,0003158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes30c8,290$2,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.182,34748.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L+1.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes30c7,526$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.841,18651.7%613 W · 573 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes37c5,924$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,220.644,75347.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L-21.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3a1…3529backed No60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.331553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfaa5…7cc9backed No69c2,954$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.793345.5%15 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Yes29c2,233$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.64238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No64c2,078$1,325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753.254463.6%28 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa383…a2f0backed Yes1c1,980$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.817537.1%65 W · 110 L-16.2wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-22%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2c54…efa4backed No54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.85366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No71c1,793$1,273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.9361032.3%197 W · 413 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No70c1,429$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.5713054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes39c1,362$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.1469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes37c1,262$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.5184939.7%337 W · 512 L-21.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Yes30c1,013$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.935148.4%170 W · 181 L-7.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes10c832.78$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.561,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes31c622.58$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1936222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No77c561.36$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2641147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40ec…f6e4backed Yes12c552.52$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.3330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes52c504.98$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$264.993520%7 W · 28 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-15.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes10c500.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed No46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2703565.7%23 W · 12 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick52cpaid+29.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10062258%361 W · 261 L+44.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed No77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11549057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdb…e382backed Yes31c414.17$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3930%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No64c413.19$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6519662.8%123 W · 73 L+20.5wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+32.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Yes30c400$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12022746.7%106 W · 121 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes30c399.99$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12042851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes9c396.43$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes52c384.62$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023252.6%122 W · 110 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes31c343.08$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.3979133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d88…480cbacked Yes31c340.96$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bba…cf14backed No70c340.14$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.044452.3%23 W · 21 L-7.5wins-0.17per pick69cpaid-25.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x3c31…cbafbacked Yes31c323.01$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.13333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003026.7%8 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes30c296.08$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.8127854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Yes31c283.65$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.935230.8%16 W · 36 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc18…6847backed No69c272.99$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.63450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bea…c4b2backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-49.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x95de…42d5backed Yes46c217.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes37c216.66$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.8226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes23c213.65$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.1421322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a6c…b36abacked No69c211$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.413100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked No50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1006145.9%28 W · 33 L-4.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes34c200$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6211260.7%68 W · 44 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8e6…d96bbacked No46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.16445.3%29 W · 35 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6215832.9%52 W · 106 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd457…9d8abacked No69c196$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.762100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x182c…3babbacked No69c194.99$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.45366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked No57c193.14$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.0510927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b51…8d2fbacked No69c185.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7740…cd28backed No69c183.99$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.042100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe278…e06ebacked No70c182.62$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.792100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+77.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x96e1…2808backed No69c176.94$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.85560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20da…8db8backed No70c170.56$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.17250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca6…3b5bbacked No69c169$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.39475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0390…e9fdbacked No70c165.25$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.583100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes31c161.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011342.5%48 W · 65 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0476…8d17backed No70c158.34$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Yes37c153$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.611947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+59.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x83f9…6a45backed No70c152.45$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.74475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a2…be25backed No70c147.63$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc079…8accbacked Yes39c142.5$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.583946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e68…3215backed Yes30c133.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7c63…0857backed No69c128$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.68250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85f…7f69backed Yes33c121.21$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402740.7%11 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36be…30bcbacked No70c115$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick69cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…8bf1backed No70c101.29$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.39560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd019…4ee0backed Yes40c100.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.78450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+47.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3162744.3%278 W · 349 L-2.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick27cpaid-56.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x501d…52e2backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151625%4 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-43.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70ad…82e0backed No69c99.97$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.993100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x78a8…01cbbacked Yes30c99.94$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.981435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa57c…22b8backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid+6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf006…1484backed Yes21c95.24$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes30c89$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.783650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes31c80.65$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No78c80.07$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.713,46143%1,489 W · 1,972 L+31.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes40c77.03$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9215444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e66…e1b2backed No63c72.14$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.42050%10 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes31c70.97$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216341.1%67 W · 96 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6398…0485backed Yes31c68.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.31633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes17c67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2811947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2371…4d2dbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+30.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Yes47c63.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.7wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-21.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes31c61.52$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.077623.7%18 W · 58 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e98…110bbacked Yes43c58.14$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999d…5b2ebacked No71c55.08$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.211850%9 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9651…0488backed Yes31c54.84$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177254.2%39 W · 33 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520353.7%109 W · 94 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51e5…da69backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510754.2%58 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes34c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.215643.6%68 W · 88 L-0.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530956%173 W · 136 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddbc…6965backed Yes35c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.55736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe541…ae5fbacked Yes29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec29…bc81backed Yes31c48.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0bb…049fbacked No78c46.71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.282352.2%12 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Yes43c46.51$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208142%34 W · 47 L-8.5wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.