TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$205,465
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$264,591

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,465 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No36c12,923$4,702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,701.913,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Yes52c10,902$5,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,202.362161.9%13 W · 8 L+4.5wins+0.21per pick40cpaid+75.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c9,997$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.081,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Yes31c9,544$2,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,566.0222753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed No61c8,197$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,66030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes40c5,372$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,216.1912236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No55c4,734$2,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,603.464,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No60c4,434$2,661 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,660.51,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes39c4,096$1,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,498.772,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xede1…54cbbacked Yes38c3,322$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,073.141546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No39c3,182$1,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,243.741,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No25c2,890$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.0221322.1%47 W · 166 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes59c2,634$1,554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,079.838461.9%52 W · 32 L+14.0wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+40.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No27c2,552$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.094344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c2,443$1,901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.2125872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa566…72debacked Yes38c2,272$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.9411159.5%66 W · 45 L+8.6wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+12.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No47c2,030$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95020843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed No41c1,933$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$792.534238.1%16 W · 26 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes40c1,750$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,05022448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked Yes34c1,362$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.7621641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No60c1,250$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75050449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No23c1,182$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes39c1,128$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$688.1949447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No14c1,046$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.6860832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed No61c1,000$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6102969%20 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick63cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No13c999.89$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.999530.5%29 W · 66 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Yes36c999.61$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$636.4610927.5%30 W · 79 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c815$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48948153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x26b4…6455backed Yes79c800$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick76cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd43a…608bbacked No61c780$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75b6…c16fbacked Yes40c770$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4622100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes39c769.23$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.2310437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45015940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4504235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…b24abacked Yes40c750$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed No2c749$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.24837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-32.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x177d…f2bfbacked No61c740$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$451.410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes34c735.54$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.547024.3%17 W · 53 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick23cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes41c710$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.922335%78 W · 145 L-10.7wins-0.05per pick40cpaid+5.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes29c688.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.192045%9 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x69dd…1964backed Yes33c606.06$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406.069348.4%45 W · 48 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No60c599.27$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.565754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed No71c591.74$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.142958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.247850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No22c560.18$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.6140033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes77c520$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.423762.9%149 W · 88 L+21.9wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+15%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes34c429.41$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.4123152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed No61c409.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020148.8%98 W · 103 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes39c401.54$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.527854.7%152 W · 126 L+20.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Yes29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2843354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No60c380.69$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No39c371$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.4245841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c6…367dbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.372060%12 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+71.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4fbe…f9e5backed Yes34c361.76$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.763429.4%10 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-22.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes77c340.93$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.2441147.9%197 W · 214 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x279a…ffc2backed Yes38c335.55$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.7610152.5%53 W · 48 L+8.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb7b8…68c0backed Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.58771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick57cpaid+39.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b5f…16fbbacked Yes40c320.73$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No61c309.14$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.581833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7cc1…d3eebacked Yes39c307.69$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Yes40c303$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.815442.2%65 W · 89 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes40c300$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1803046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2047142.3%30 W · 41 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d2…8320backed Yes40c292.5$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.511264.3%72 W · 40 L+10.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+16.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70d1…3a20backed Yes39c282.05$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.7226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Yes39c259.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.68939.3%35 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeddf…a953backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15011037.3%41 W · 69 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1505151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…1b9cbacked Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1506861.8%42 W · 26 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+25.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x34c0…db10backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ce…bdcfbacked Yes64c245.72$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.211050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes41c244.07$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.074528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d6…8076backed Yes79c225.71$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.466100%6 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x447f…4f2abacked Yes34c222.2$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.651553.3%8 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes34c220.59$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.5910634.9%37 W · 69 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cbb…3b60backed No61c208.61$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No62c200$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf6df…0814backed No61c199.05$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf5c…ec1cbacked Yes40c196.95$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.172100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+121.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf279…e68fbacked Yes40c195.15$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+89.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf0c…d56fbacked Yes40c189.41$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.65425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-37.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x66ef…c510backed No61c189.25$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+32.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e5…e61ebacked Yes40c188.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.233100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+127%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes34c184$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.4615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20b3…a273backed Yes40c183.46$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.08366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed No30c182.47$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.366442.2%27 W · 37 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes40c182.33$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.49640.6%39 W · 57 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x340c…0ecbbacked No61c181.35$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x369b…6f7abacked No61c178.37$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a31…0b12backed No61c177.26$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.13450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Yes79c177.22$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.221090%9 W · 1 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick71cpaid+27.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No23c170$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fcd…42f2backed No60c170$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022560%15 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick64cpaid+19.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes30c166.67$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.6722450.4%113 W · 111 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8a46…162dbacked No61c158.28$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5520%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb433…6045backed Yes40c157.99$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.79475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+64.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b8d…9805backed No61c157.45$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.