TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xddbc…6965

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
197
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
16

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Boxing at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT5736.8%21 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Levante UD win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Levante UD vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.8
Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Sevilla FC vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$69.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$18.65
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.88
Valencia CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$15.92
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.77
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. RCD Mallorca end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.74
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.49
Will Girona FC vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-04-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.76
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.51
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$33.07
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$47.58
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.9
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$28.2
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3842.1%16 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$54.07
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$49.19
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.4
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.1
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.5
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.5
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.24
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+133.1%+$64.26
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.15
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$25.76
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$99.6
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$20
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+96.5%+$19.64
Will FK Bodø/Glimt vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.76
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.8%+$116.85
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$16.8
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+222.6%+$207
Will England vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.42
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.48
Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.88
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.1
Will South Africa win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.5
Will England win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Will Norway win on 2026-03-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.2
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$40.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Colombia win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+49.3%+$16.5
Will Poland win on 2025-11-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST+33.3%+$25
Will Spain win on 2025-11-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+25%+$6
Will Bangladesh win on 2025-11-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC vs. Crystal Palace FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$30.27
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.2
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$59
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+63.9%+$31.2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$20.7
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40.8
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+63.9%+$9.59
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+83.5%+$27.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+75.4%+$23.65
Will Chelsea win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Manchester City win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+100%+$15
Will Liverpool win on 2025-09-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
All 16 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+203%+$67
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$5.9
Will Rabby launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+45.7%+$22.84
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+33.3%+$7.5
Monad market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$28.21
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$11.6
Over $40M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$276.57
Over $20M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$231.1
Over $15M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.03
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+677.2%+$677.24
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.16
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.55
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$23.99
Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$34.2
Will Real Betis win on 2025-10-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$15.2
Will Ethereum reach $4800 in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$353.2
Will CA San Lorenzo de Almagro win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Panthers vs. Flyersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-03-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$17.7
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in October?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+75.4%+$18.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+73.5%+$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Oct 31, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Borussia Dortmund win on 2025-10-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$12.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+37%+$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win a calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yann LeCun leave Meta this year?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$25.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liberty Flames vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Mason Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.