Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x580afff22e0ded4aae37ffd1d63559bde892c9daf3bf0090e55902391307b246
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,593,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,949,248
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,593,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 996 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93fb…3e4abacked Yes | 3c | 544,547$18,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,347.21 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -80.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e84…2fa1backed Yes | 20c | 149,955$29,991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,990.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…0528backed Yes | 2c | 116,498$2,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,134.91 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…238bbacked Yes | 8c | 97,357$7,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,693.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5cf…dcd4backed Yes | 1c | 74,506$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb20b…8da0backed Yes | 13c | 70,554$9,403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,402.68 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…5820backed Yes | 0c | 67,627$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e14…3003backed Yes | 11c | 61,668$6,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,754.64 | 120 | 20%24 W · 96 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…c999backed Yes | 7c | 50,516$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.2 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -36%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37e…f335backed Yes | 3c | 37,222$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 64c | 36,000$23,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,842.26 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 57cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d32…f73ebacked Yes | 6c | 34,812$2,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,077.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ed…a7c7backed No | 58c | 34,353$20,085 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,267.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a7c…31f4backed Yes | 25c | 29,990$7,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,597.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32a9…b3e0backed Yes | 8c | 26,466$2,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,063.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63e1…68ecbacked Yes | 10c | 24,158$2,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,488.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…f771backed Yes | 1c | 20,446$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.16 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -82%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ca…7229backed No | 73c | 20,417$14,918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa040…0841backed Yes | 25c | 18,580$4,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,645 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb350…ef37backed Yes | 9c | 18,526$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,693.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 18,365$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.36 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…14cdbacked Yes | 3c | 18,224$625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$625.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…7645backed Yes | 3c | 17,708$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.98 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -50%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8309…dd77backed Yes | 1c | 16,674$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 14c | 16,250$2,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,232.97 | 46 | 21.7%10 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1c…e455backed Yes | 7c | 15,884$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 34c | 15,563$5,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,361.42 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…68e1backed Yes | 31c | 15,419$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7cb…76fcbacked Yes | 13c | 14,990$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.45 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ab…bcd9backed Yes | 8c | 14,000$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdce3…82f1backed Yes | 15c | 13,683$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…f5f4backed No | 80c | 13,383$10,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc95a…aee7backed No | 66c | 12,444$8,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,235.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 80c | 12,388$9,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,494.8 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 5c | 12,061$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.28 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59f0…ab9bbacked Yes | 1c | 11,937$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Yes | 21c | 11,769$2,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,509.51 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6872…876fbacked Yes | 5c | 11,660$604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d9a…db3fbacked Yes | 5c | 11,360$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc122…731fbacked Yes | 24c | 11,316$2,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,754.98 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf57e…5a1bbacked Yes | 20c | 11,045$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 5c | 10,805$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.38 | 143 | 1.4%2 W · 141 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcdc…ab84backed Yes | 30c | 10,000$2,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,994.98 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa336…5404backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 1c | 9,938$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.23 | 678 | 5.9%40 W · 638 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…73acbacked No | 80c | 9,375$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc3…73d1backed No | 79c | 9,295$7,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,905.5 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad0…bf3dbacked No | 78c | 9,124$7,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015.94 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 74c | 8,383$6,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,155.18 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc443…bbdbbacked No | 76c | 7,990$6,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,882.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…08aabacked Yes | 42c | 7,920$3,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,351.16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a03…c37ebacked No | 78c | 7,917$6,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,737.81 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c9…5769backed Yes | 39c | 7,491$2,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,948.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +229.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94da…2bf1backed No | 69c | 7,484$5,157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,326.55 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a2…3658backed Yes | 52c | 7,363$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 10c | 7,270$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.87 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b90…8cdcbacked No | 70c | 7,200$5,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,177.41 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 57c | 6,972$3,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,983.93 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc82d…c50abacked Yes | 44c | 6,941$3,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,031.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d14…f8bdbacked No | 77c | 6,786$5,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,561.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb2…1607backed No | 75c | 6,600$4,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,650 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5426…1339backed Yes | 31c | 6,529$2,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,018.26 | 29 | 0%0 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c4…cb26backed Yes | 13c | 6,449$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked No | 70c | 6,442$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.56 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 5c | 6,387$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.41 | 169 | 3.6%6 W · 163 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bef…f04ebacked Yes | 2c | 6,301$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a4…3d3abacked No | 75c | 6,133$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes | 37c | 6,068$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.99 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +177.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 2c | 5,956$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.07 | 120 | 3.3%4 W · 116 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -61.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa179…180dbacked No | 75c | 5,847$4,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 13c | 5,657$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$733.61 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98b…6430backed No | 76c | 5,559$4,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.24 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3694…44cbbacked Yes | 1c | 5,556$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 21c | 5,522$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.37 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6743…4ccbbacked Yes | 40c | 5,492$2,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,169.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed No | 65c | 5,360$3,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.48 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked No | 80c | 5,340$4,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.3 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1846…aefebacked No | 80c | 5,280$4,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c78…42e6backed Yes | 5c | 5,172$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe267…5295backed Yes | 12c | 5,111$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 5,057$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.09 | 146 | 3.4%5 W · 141 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -57.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b5…3b75backed Yes | 23c | 5,014$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,136.21 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed No | 61c | 5,003$3,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,969.95 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41b9…de55backed Yes | 1c | 5,000$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 3c | 4,946$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 212 | 5.7%12 W · 200 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x809a…3757backed Yes | 26c | 4,935$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x464e…1a67backed No | 61c | 4,911$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,928.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3356…5b78backed No | 49c | 4,675$2,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,382.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +103.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4198…ae38backed Yes | 1c | 4,671$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa2…9593backed Yes | 39c | 4,657$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.23 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…0741backed Yes | 23c | 4,634$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.62 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c0…186dbacked No | 70c | 4,497$3,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Yes | 42c | 4,475$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f8…98e1backed Yes | 4c | 4,357$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60ea…3534backed Yes | 1c | 4,270$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Yes | 24c | 4,201$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -73%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e1…aaaabacked Yes | 31c | 4,171$1,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,304.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9c…6e72backed No | 80c | 4,046$3,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d72…a6a3backed Yes | 1c | 4,045$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…563cbacked Yes | 32c | 3,912$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.