TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x926d…635e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
72
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Movies at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+81.6%+$81.61
alon called coin FDV above $1M one day after the call?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$163.66
Over $20M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Over $8M committed to the Trove public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+45.6%+$66.71
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$310Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+67.8%+$210.12
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$378Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+37.1%+$140.45
Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,648Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,648.5
No airdrop in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$371Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$371.17
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+181.9%+$545.73
Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$184.62
Over $100M committed to the Solomon public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,253Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+142.1%+$1,779.58
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$400
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Over $3B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$80.68
All 16 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$734.77
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$4,768Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$4,768.43
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$131,148Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+39%+$51,175.02
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,310Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+43%+$563.93
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+108.7%+$217.3
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$7,868Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+69.3%+$5,450.13
Will Zcash hit $1000 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$5,361.42
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.75
Will Zcash hit $500 by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,135Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+60.6%+$687.58
All 10 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$399Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+38.9%+$155.17
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Debí Tirar Más Fotos (Bad Bunny) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,257Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+57%+$3,566.54
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,296Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+88.5%+$1,147.28
Will APT (Rosé and Bruno Mars) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Luther (Kendrick Lamar and SZA) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$2,720Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$2,719.57
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55,445Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$55,444.56
Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Best Rap Album at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+31%+$154.76
Will Amy Allen win Songwriter of the Year, Non-Classical at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,860Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$1,140
Will SZA release a new song in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$316Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$316
All 10 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.16per pick67cpaid+22.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-35.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$28,362Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+28.6%+$8,098.27
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.