Music · resolved market
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d04dbaf238a3aa7fe9333caafdf45d6fcc91d5de4e7cd0257d130e89444e68
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Musicevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $355,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $366,876
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $355,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 356 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Music is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Music | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7871…3364backed Yes | 51c | 37,947$19,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,594.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3e…8af2backed Yes | 66c | 12,066$7,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x353b…424ebacked No | 49c | 9,786$4,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,795.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c4…bcb2backed No | 49c | 9,748$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 65c | 9,366$6,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,283.59 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…d21cbacked No | 49c | 9,229$4,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,522.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x425a…8094backed No | 49c | 9,184$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1683…6906backed No | 22c | 8,432$1,815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,814.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 31c | 7,577$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.29 | 162 | 50.6%82 W · 80 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x78cf…6481backed No | 10c | 5,900$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 5,018$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 67 | 3%2 W · 65 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89e0…9412backed Yes | 74c | 4,629$3,446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183.31 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…7865backed No | 45c | 4,372$1,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,967.96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x616d…dd1bbacked Yes | 62c | 4,265$2,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,629.56 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 11c | 3,698$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.77 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +189.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 48c | 3,343$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,729.32 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb772…0131backed Yes | 73c | 3,280$2,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$890.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07f9…d1b4backed Yes | 80c | 2,464$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb920…7922backed No | 33c | 2,316$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 27c | 2,280$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.63 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…8cf0backed Yes | 74c | 2,210$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.17 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 71c | 2,143$1,526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.41 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd98b…c7ffbacked Yes | 45c | 2,111$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +121.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 36c | 2,034$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.93 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe904…2d9fbacked Yes | 63c | 1,999$1,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.32 | 146 | 61%89 W · 57 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16e0…ad22backed No | 2c | 1,833$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…5166backed Yes | 55c | 1,812$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa271…2727backed No | 1c | 1,758$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed No | 26c | 1,744$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.49 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Yes | 78c | 1,700$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…e0b2backed Yes | 75c | 1,692$1,270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60fd…89a9backed No | 4c | 1,650$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 69 | 5.8%4 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +148.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 4c | 1,638$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.09 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed No | 25c | 1,510$371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.52 | 105 | 17.1%18 W · 87 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 34c | 1,478$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.29 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +20%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f7…e73bbacked No | 7c | 1,350$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0372…4914backed Yes | 73c | 1,339$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked No | 5c | 1,176$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.35 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked No | 6c | 1,174$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.34 | 107 | 4.7%5 W · 102 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce6…16a3backed No | 6c | 1,155$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed No | 46c | 1,134$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.4 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb50…7bfcbacked No | 46c | 1,061$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.83 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 67c | 1,016$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.77 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd362…9bc4backed No | 7c | 989.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.07 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x721a…9295backed No | 57c | 928$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.96 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd950…ad1bbacked Yes | 56c | 888.39$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.1 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2e5abacked Yes | 65c | 884.8$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.40per pick | 40cpaid | +136.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e3…4d7ebacked No | 4c | 859.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3720…92d8backed No | 4c | 825.96$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2b…3377backed Yes | 50c | 812.48$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked No | 12c | 751$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.98 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1359…6fdcbacked Yes | 68c | 740.66$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c6…b50bbacked Yes | 71c | 649.02$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.22 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7845…417bbacked Yes | 57c | 600$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.26per pick | 53cpaid | -58%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…7d57backed Yes | 76c | 599.99$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +512.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 9c | 588.65$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.27 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +62.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…7a5fbacked Yes | 59c | 584.99$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.45 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4292…a0c7backed No | 2c | 579.77$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e98…5bf8backed Yes | 69c | 577.79$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 37c | 563.21$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.91 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88f3…baa8backed No | 26c | 559.03$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x926d…635ebacked Yes | 72c | 554.18$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.17 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed No | 18c | 550$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2386…1722backed No | 43c | 542.38$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.22 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b0…a994backed Yes | 41c | 491.57$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.1 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b5…3591backed No | 16c | 481.45$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.43 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes | 66c | 468.84$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0353…4a63backed Yes | 65c | 467.46$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…7372backed No | 7c | 458$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fd…9f9fbacked No | 49c | 445.35$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…5916backed No | 12c | 444.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.77 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked No | 3c | 432.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +124.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa834…71aebacked Yes | 54c | 428.49$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x966a…6d73backed No | 59c | 423.67$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.97 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed No | 7c | 412.47$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.89 | 53 | 11.3%6 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 4c | 410.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 77 | 10.4%8 W · 69 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…4f44backed No | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | +216.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…1008backed Yes | 61c | 398.39$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee9…197fbacked Yes | 65c | 377.87$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7994…c8c3backed Yes | 73c | 364.73$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.73 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9a…b04fbacked Yes | 45c | 358.99$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +107.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x44e6…9d9ebacked Yes | 72c | 350$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03d1…ffaabacked Yes | 63c | 340.99$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc8…b4dabacked Yes | 65c | 338.65$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…49d8backed Yes | 66c | 326.5$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -69.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd2f6…cbf3backed Yes | 65c | 308.92$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b9…1951backed No | 6c | 305.66$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…16d9backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0303…fcd1backed Yes | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5f…95e2backed No | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d1…83eabacked Yes | 77c | 300$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…e8dabacked No | 7c | 299.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.81 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7491…ada0backed Yes | 71c | 299.96$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.9 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +169.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c37…d40fbacked No | 6c | 297$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.63 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +247.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b52…d558backed Yes | 76c | 296.58$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed No | 4c | 288.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 16cpaid | -77.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce31…19c4backed No | 26c | 286.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.24 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 27c | 275.58$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.61 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 75c | 266.29$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…1df4backed Yes | 46c | 263.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.38 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Music and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?this page
- Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Kanye West have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
- Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.