TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88f3…baa8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
75
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
19

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.34
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+35.3%+$47.42
US x Iran meeting by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$34.33
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$41.99
Khamenei seen in public by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.47
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$139.81
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,952Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,951.74
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 20% in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+525%+$189.42
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$3.57
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$75.27
Khamenei public appearance by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$12.56
All 11 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.29per pick40cpaid-81.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$12.09
Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.33
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.13
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.79
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$132.48
Government shutdown on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$10.9
Will Susie Wiles be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.14
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$46.9
Will Trump admin release any Epstein files on December 18? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$33.49
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-3.1wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-56.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Tweets — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$11.94
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.41
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.25
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$49.24
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$10.37
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+38%+$12.8
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$10.22
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 7 to February 9, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+25.3%+$10.97
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$153.78
All 9 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST70%0 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick54cpaid+54.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
World Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-17.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-41.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.96per pick4cpaid+2,619.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lighter Airdrop on December 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+2,619.4%+$280.32
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mavericks vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+138.1%+$275.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+64.1%+$105.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 15% and 25% on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$30.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympiakos win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$17.64
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.4 released by March 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$17.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$289Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$289.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$92.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$40.93
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Morocco win the CAF Africa Cup of Nations Morocco 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$11.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.