TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Mavericks vs. Kings

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Kingsof Mavericks, Kings
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,748,980
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,952,298

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,748,980 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,397 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Kings44c745,101$326,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418,262.387451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Mavericks56c429,521$240,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240,532.0126253.8%141 W · 121 L+10.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked Mavericks57c243,332$137,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137,577.0287144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d1…dbcbbacked Kings43c116,279$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,279.079641.7%40 W · 56 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x906f…88b4backed Kings42c105,000$44,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60,743.4622453.1%119 W · 105 L+7.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Mavericks57c75,367$42,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,959.087745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ff2…dbbdbacked Mavericks57c69,799$39,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,785.363534.3%12 W · 23 L-6.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-39.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Kings72c54,062$39,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,026.561,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Mavericks57c50,000$28,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,50024650%123 W · 123 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Mavericks20c42,473$8,690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,690.099336.6%34 W · 59 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Mavericks59c40,000$23,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,599.9938248.7%186 W · 196 L+13.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+0.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Kings43c40,000$17,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,799.8766853.4%357 W · 311 L+22.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x062a…c2a3backed Mavericks57c30,520$17,496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,496.419048.4%92 W · 98 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+25.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7a6…89b2backed Kings43c29,998$12,813 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,184.7814244.4%63 W · 79 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94d7…bef5backed Mavericks3c28,750$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97525925.9%67 W · 192 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed Mavericks57c27,021$15,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,402.0837944.3%168 W · 211 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…cc31backed Kings43c19,650$8,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,206.521450%107 W · 107 L-14.6wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1d56…7486backed Mavericks58c19,650$11,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,40317861.2%109 W · 69 L+11.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Mavericks56c18,888$10,577 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,577.2815952.2%83 W · 76 L+9.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1692…831fbacked Mavericks38c17,331$6,592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,592.426051.7%31 W · 29 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Mavericks26c17,208$4,485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,485.145,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3a…4033backed Mavericks59c16,998$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00034062.1%211 W · 129 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Mavericks6c16,387$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.891,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3080…5f29backed Kings41c14,665$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,581.262369.6%16 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.19per pick50cpaid+38.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Mavericks56c14,637$8,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,225.562,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Kings80c12,500$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Kings63c12,344$7,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.394,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Kings44c12,222$5,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,850.922,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Mavericks52c12,040$6,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,200.732,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Kings74c11,289$8,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,962.653,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6cff…c3dabacked Kings80c11,111$8,889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.218518.4%34 W · 151 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Mavericks57c11,008$6,275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,274.5623245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Kings43c11,000$4,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,269.9720551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mavericks4c10,395$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.3581529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Mavericks0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010147.5%48 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Kings41c10,000$4,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,899.9735235.8%126 W · 226 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Mavericks7c9,324$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.6883039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88a2…d974backed Mavericks58c8,621$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0005947.5%28 W · 31 L+3.6wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Mavericks1c8,029$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.298820%0 W · 882 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Kings43c8,000$3,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,56045348.1%218 W · 235 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Mavericks57c7,844$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.8844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd776…ffebbacked Kings42c7,750$3,255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,494.883151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Mavericks59c7,449$4,395 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,394.911,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Mavericks57c7,227$4,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,139.612,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7675…f043backed Mavericks59c7,200$4,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,248757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.16per pick41cpaid+41.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Mavericks6c7,187$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$430.321,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c28…7ba5backed Mavericks56c7,001$3,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,920.513148.9%64 W · 67 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+15.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8b…77d4backed Kings43c7,000$3,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,989.9511244.6%50 W · 62 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3a6…cab1backed Mavericks53c6,954$3,714 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,713.822347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Mavericks19c6,632$1,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241.8634227.2%93 W · 249 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-17.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Mavericks57c6,569$3,713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,712.739,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Kings42c6,155$2,586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,568.8855346.8%259 W · 294 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Mavericks32c6,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9501,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4fd…4154backed Mavericks9c5,781$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Mavericks56c5,500$3,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.9912143%52 W · 69 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa519…eda4backed Kings42c5,124$2,152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,971.672100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8cd3…5659backed Mavericks57c5,114$2,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,914.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa849…c825backed Mavericks57c5,000$2,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,85216641%68 W · 98 L-12.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kings60c5,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,000.31,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b51…e165backed Mavericks58c5,000$2,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,90031347%147 W · 166 L-14.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Kings42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90018547%87 W · 98 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5350…2fdabacked Kings43c5,000$2,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,85012147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Mavericks57c5,000$2,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8501,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Mavericks0c5,000$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234200.7%3 W · 417 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817b…3c25backed Mavericks57c5,000$2,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,8301,04841.1%431 W · 617 L+23.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x190e…c6e2backed Mavericks57c4,882$2,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,782.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeea4…5705backed Kings42c4,871$2,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,825.41250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f2d…6ae3backed Mavericks59c4,672$2,757 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.2950%0 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Kings44c4,547$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,547.4512541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x519d…37a1backed Mavericks1c4,029$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.887502%15 W · 735 L-3.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-63.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Mavericks12c4,029$474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$473.5626949.1%132 W · 137 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5f…d795backed Mavericks56c4,000$2,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,26027051.5%139 W · 131 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf6e…b45bbacked Kings80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Kings42c4,000$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,319.9876850.3%386 W · 382 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x705d…5af7backed Mavericks13c3,943$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.99616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick41cpaid-40.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x75dd…b869backed Mavericks57c3,807$2,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,17010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf588…17a3backed Kings43c3,799$1,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,165.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Mavericks3c3,760$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.950241.2%207 W · 295 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x377c…91aebacked Mavericks23c3,500$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82047535.8%170 W · 305 L+41.1wins+0.09per pick27cpaid+26.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x660d…2e08backed Mavericks58c3,500$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.984850%24 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked Mavericks16c3,227$518 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.0844654.3%242 W · 204 L+21.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6584…88c0backed Mavericks11c3,168$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.216240.3%25 W · 37 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb40d…c72dbacked Kings43c3,165$1,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,804.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Mavericks57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71010057%57 W · 43 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+10.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Mavericks56c3,000$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x697d…985dbacked Mavericks57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,709.992441.7%10 W · 14 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd1f…6623backed Kings42c3,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,739.842445.8%11 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23df…c7a8backed Mavericks17c2,837$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$477.791533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.1wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-36.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4da5…e32ebacked Mavericks58c2,769$1,606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,605.791729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd161…4cc1backed Mavericks39c2,724$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,07078445.8%359 W · 425 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ede…2de3backed Mavericks58c2,644$1,534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,533.644548.9%22 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x187b…26bfbacked Kings43c2,633$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,50117348.6%84 W · 89 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Mavericks23c2,626$594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$594.1424151.9%125 W · 116 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Mavericks57c2,617$1,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,491.511,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x94f1…b9e7backed Kings70c2,587$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$787.526659%157 W · 109 L+12.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a90…7bf8backed Mavericks57c2,529$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,441.539260.9%56 W · 36 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Mavericks56c2,520$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,411.43256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Mavericks58c2,500$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,45069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1033…d851backed Mavericks4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10027443.1%118 W · 156 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd8…aeabbacked Mavericks57c2,498$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,42230947.6%147 W · 162 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.