Us Midterms · resolved market

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f1843cae1fa85c263c1f8118554fcff73f8af53d58d0f9fa5283490e69a7d94

Rebuilt 2 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Aug 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $48,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $41,049

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,661 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes	7c	1,964$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.81	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec4d…be21backed Yes	12c	1,778$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.36	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-66%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes	13c	1,714$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.24	165	44.2%73 W · 92 L	+10.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes	11c	1,400$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154	76	39.5%30 W · 46 L	+2.9wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes	47c	1,093$516 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$516.28	196	43.4%85 W · 111 L	+15.5wins	+0.08per pick	35cpaid	+23.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1bed…6afabacked Yes	10c	1,013$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.08per pick	33cpaid	-67.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes	17c	886.07$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.19	343	33.5%115 W · 228 L	-4.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-30%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5529…e5b9backed Yes	29c	756.08$219 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$218.67	229	48.9%112 W · 117 L	+7.7wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed No	75c	723.74$544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$179.57	182	37.4%68 W · 114 L	-3.6wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-30.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93a9…0b88backed Yes	8c	667.13$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.99	32	43.8%14 W · 18 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-20%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes	23c	614.09$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.32	39	61.5%24 W · 15 L	+5.4wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes	53c	584.5$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$311.38	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	78c	516.46$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.78	332	38.6%128 W · 204 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-30%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x039b…9b6cbacked Yes	18c	509.34$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.97	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	32cpaid	-53.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	12c	465$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.08	495	11.5%57 W · 438 L	-17.6wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x98ac…40d9backed No	53c	454.73$240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$214.34	45	62.2%28 W · 17 L	+5.2wins	+0.11per pick	51cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ba9…2210backed Yes	6c	430$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.8	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbd…1288backed Yes	15c	405.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.46	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.12per pick	35cpaid	-63.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa815…9cbebacked Yes	7c	402.08$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.42	182	3.8%7 W · 175 L	-4.7wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-50%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed No	78c	400$310 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	315	34%107 W · 208 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	38cpaid	-33.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes	26c	399.19$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	60	30%18 W · 42 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66f9…adb9backed Yes	10c	371.82$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.38	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+4.1wins	+0.18per pick	30cpaid	+194.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	19c	365.65$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.74	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb41e…11fdbacked Yes	4c	353.15$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.6	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	-14%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd12f…e85abacked Yes	18c	335.6$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.35	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes	50c	325.72$164 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$164.03	115	22.6%26 W · 89 L	-2.9wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes	23c	320.11$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.63	14	50%7 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	+38.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0327…5e15backed No	45c	239.9$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$131.4	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x540a…64c9backed No	49c	226.93$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$115.64	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	54cpaid	-37.6%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc6b2…3caabacked No	63c	226.61$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d02…2ad3backed Yes	18c	225.12$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	34	50%17 W · 17 L	+2.6wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd3b…9f3abacked Yes	7c	223.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.67	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x88f3…baa8backed No	52c	215.5$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.44	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes	13c	212.61$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.94	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-5.0wins	-0.13per pick	22cpaid	-86.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x38e5…95e7backed Yes	22c	211.39$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	210	33.3%70 W · 140 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7771…009fbacked No	46c	200$92 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+57.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x531c…1085backed Yes	49c	197.82$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.32	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	59cpaid	+39.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b13…2f02backed Yes	13c	195.86$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-32%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2061…9160backed Yes	16c	194$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.29	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.9wins	-0.32per pick	32cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9630…33f4backed Yes	6c	187.11$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcceb…f030backed No	61c	184$112 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72.39	205	42%86 W · 119 L	-11.4wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0380…073dbacked No	78c	181.18$140 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.72	147	29.9%44 W · 103 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes	45c	180$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7491…ada0backed No	39c	177.62$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$108.35	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+22.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes	6c	173.45$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.33	83	32.5%27 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No	51c	160$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.1	124	40.3%50 W · 74 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5446…18f6backed No	58c	160$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$67.2	60	38.3%23 W · 37 L	-1.8wins	-0.03per pick	41cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes	34c	155$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.7	67	50.7%34 W · 33 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	46cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc18d…fac7backed No	75c	140$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.23per pick	77cpaid	+30%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02f7…dd8fbacked Yes	54c	138.4$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.93	22	59.1%13 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa667…ceb3backed Yes	34c	136.82$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.15	87	57.5%50 W · 37 L	+9.9wins	+0.11per pick	46cpaid	+15.3%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x0ce4…5f17backed No	53c	126.99$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.69	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2aac…dfadbacked Yes	40c	125.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	66c	125$82 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.89	109	47.7%52 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6d91…7a49backed Yes	8c	119.9$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	71c	118.19$84 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.25	81	49.4%40 W · 41 L	+1.8wins	+0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Yes	20c	113.04$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.87	248	31%77 W · 171 L	-8.9wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e49…ae9dbacked Yes	39c	112.72$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.42	20	40%8 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+101.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x28f0…1b45backed Yes	39c	109$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.65	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2177…3fb4backed Yes	48c	108.54$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.1	31	54.8%17 W · 14 L	+3.0wins	+0.10per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a6e…8fe0backed Yes	50c	108.02$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-33.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb31b…b140backed Yes	39c	104.51$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.26	42	45.2%19 W · 23 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f08…54d3backed No	49c	102.04$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$52.04	35	40%14 W · 21 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	47cpaid	-33.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcdbf…1926backed Yes	39c	100.88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.93	272	22.1%60 W · 212 L	-15.0wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-44.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc97d…732bbacked Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	79	25.3%20 W · 59 L	-2.9wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-45%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No	42c	98$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$56.84	248	61.7%153 W · 95 L	+24.3wins	+0.10per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7dc4…a38dbacked Yes	44c	88$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.72	62	51.6%32 W · 30 L	+6.6wins	+0.11per pick	41cpaid	+54.2%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x8e42…a043backed Yes	33c	87.94$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.82	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.08per pick	23cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad53…ef24backed Yes	25c	87.65$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.81	669	14.8%99 W · 570 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	31cpaid	-66%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x764b…6badbacked No	76c	87$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.46	109	46.8%51 W · 58 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe88f…10babacked Yes	61c	86$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.35	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb719…c1e1backed No	49c	75.98$37 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$39.01	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.7wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+85.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa848…8a1fbacked No	61c	72.54$44 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.29	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x9eda…6e19backed No	77c	70$54 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.1	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-5.0wins	-0.15per pick	53cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+6.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xafb1…0329backed No	57c	68.3$39 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.37	38	60.5%23 W · 15 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x942e…be27backed No	77c	67$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.31	91	47.3%43 W · 48 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4745…5916backed No	47c	65$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.45	67	44.8%30 W · 37 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6c…e3f5backed No	55c	64$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.62	34	61.8%21 W · 13 L	+4.6wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.5%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…468fbacked Yes	48c	62$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.76	85	41.2%35 W · 50 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71b…e265backed Yes	38c	59.92$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.96	160	20.6%33 W · 127 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	43c	59.15$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.8	211	55.9%118 W · 93 L	+6.3wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa3e2…fdf8backed No	53c	58.53$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27.51	450	35.1%158 W · 292 L	-37.8wins	-0.08per pick	44cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b73…dd78backed No	45c	58$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$31.9	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.9wins	+0.64per pick	36cpaid	+191.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb651…2089backed No	63c	57.57$36 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.41	23	52.2%12 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.04per pick	57cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x30fb…7db4backed Yes	23c	52$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.96	96	47.9%46 W · 50 L	+3.1wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x721a…9295backed Yes	44c	52$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.88	56	42.9%24 W · 32 L	-2.4wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No	66c	50.82$33 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.51	37	54.1%20 W · 17 L	+2.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	-18.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34fd…15a0backed No	44c	50$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.56per pick	45cpaid	+124.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74fc…492cbacked No	80c	50$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	68cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed No	64c	50$32 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18	74	47.3%35 W · 39 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Yes	36c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfb3d…929fbacked No	53c	50$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.5	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.26per pick	51cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f9…c50bbacked No	51c	49.01$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.01	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.5wins	+0.49per pick	51cpaid	+96.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed No	48c	45.99$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23.71	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-19%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No	55c	45.74$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.74	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61f2…e77abacked No	70c	45$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.57	18	61.1%11 W · 7 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	61cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae7a…25eabacked No	76c	40.92$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.82	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	56cpaid	-26.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x168f…9e00backed No	51c	40.38$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19.65	88	31.8%28 W · 60 L	-5.4wins	-0.06per pick	38cpaid	-29.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbf12…d3a4backed No	77c	36$28 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.16	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.3wins	+0.43per pick	57cpaid	+128.1%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?this page
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event