Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00925aafdbb3fbec14b49f343eb430ddb9cc1f827e5934b5513703d13f2851de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,835,669
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,790,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,835,669 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 486 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Yes | 10c | 183,026$18,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,528.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 8c | 84,232$6,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,551.55 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked No | 72c | 82,075$58,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,167.43 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 69cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 80,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed No | 53c | 55,439$29,212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,226.22 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 72c | 36,614$26,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,239.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6139…6b7abacked Yes | 22c | 31,442$7,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,054.98 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 35c | 27,752$9,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,968.92 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 7c | 24,480$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,669.84 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4aeebacked No | 17c | 23,042$3,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,093.96 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.29per pick | 41cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 19c | 22,479$4,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,289.7 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 5c | 21,662$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,496.68 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed No | 52c | 18,477$9,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,780.14 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 7c | 17,269$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,122.85 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 59c | 15,803$9,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,261.59 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5207…686bbacked No | 8c | 15,660$1,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,362.36 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.28per pick | 45cpaid | +219.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 5c | 15,637$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,821.48 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked Yes | 28c | 15,580$4,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,348.19 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 55 | 1.8%1 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -85.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe40a…e4a2backed No | 50c | 13,155$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,520.71 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 45c | 12,942$5,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,079.18 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed No | 6c | 12,661$802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,858.82 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 52c | 11,705$6,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,675.89 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 44c | 11,471$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,084.57 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a75…7d66backed Yes | 1c | 10,943$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked Yes | 22c | 10,377$2,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,319.34 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ff…5b03backed Yes | 2c | 10,360$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 17c | 10,242$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,551.67 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 74c | 10,000$7,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,350 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1f…5c1abacked Yes | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,299.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedc8…d7cebacked Yes | 0c | 9,343$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 9c | 8,949$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.93 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -87.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b1…a837backed No | 43c | 7,956$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Yes | 39c | 7,331$2,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,860.64 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 33c | 7,211$2,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,395.49 | 37 | 8.1%3 W · 34 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -86.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x88c4…129abacked Yes | 61c | 7,178$4,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,371.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e25…9712backed Yes | 23c | 7,143$1,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,630.79 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6978…08d8backed Yes | 50c | 6,508$3,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,242.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.25per pick | 59cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 45c | 6,190$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,426.36 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc002…6f57backed Yes | 1c | 6,040$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6b…13f2backed Yes | 1c | 5,990$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 71c | 5,920$4,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,726.15 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17d…59aebacked Yes | 3c | 5,829$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.05 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…5723backed No | 60c | 5,538$3,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,204.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e9a…f3bbbacked Yes | 33c | 5,330$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,754.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked No | 19c | 5,077$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,122.26 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 5cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6404…f250backed No | 39c | 5,075$1,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,079.31 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd426…334abacked Yes | 31c | 4,740$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.91 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 56c | 4,657$2,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,631.02 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 16c | 4,514$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,783.94 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 69c | 4,335$2,979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,979.05 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 57c | 4,016$2,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,272.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 11c | 4,000$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.85 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed No | 4c | 3,779$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,638.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +215.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 61c | 3,777$2,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.53 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…2f1ebacked No | 58c | 3,695$2,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,546.33 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 43c | 3,659$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.13 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 55c | 3,578$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,616.34 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d93…fdefbacked Yes | 35c | 3,574$1,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,243.93 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4344…f90dbacked No | 5c | 3,550$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,385.72 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed No | 10c | 3,450$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,115.21 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9352…2227backed Yes | 46c | 3,303$1,509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,508.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed No | 39c | 3,210$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed No | 47c | 3,177$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680.45 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8200…df37backed Yes | 70c | 3,130$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4b…ca7abacked No | 31c | 2,977$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,052.11 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +9.0wins | +0.34per pick | 23cpaid | +138.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…ee45backed Yes | 31c | 2,870$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.71 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 50c | 2,807$1,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.5 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b9…5db9backed Yes | 67c | 2,716$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.85 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 50c | 2,704$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.18 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…0fa6backed No | 54c | 2,678$1,448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.29 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x808a…ef3fbacked No | 6c | 2,660$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,505.62 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 37cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa77…563bbacked Yes | 71c | 2,652$1,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,893.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 39c | 2,647$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,623.01 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe570…084ebacked Yes | 27c | 2,603$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed Yes | 75c | 2,583$1,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,936.47 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 27c | 2,545$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,848.63 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…febdbacked No | 4c | 2,506$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,409.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.47per pick | 3cpaid | +1,188%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked No | 5c | 2,506$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,384.62 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 63c | 2,445$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.32 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc722…1334backed Yes | 4c | 2,358$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.62 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…820cbacked No | 11c | 2,349$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,091.03 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +419.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 32c | 2,346$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$744.84 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed No | 72c | 2,284$1,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.63 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3653…ef74backed No | 28c | 2,265$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620.31 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 44c | 2,244$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,256.84 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed No | 68c | 2,149$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$692.38 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3a…5998backed Yes | 67c | 2,083$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed Yes | 44c | 2,070$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…b7a9backed Yes | 64c | 2,068$1,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,325.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 46c | 2,042$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.66 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ee…4a94backed No | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 57c | 2,000$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 60c | 1,965$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.34 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 54c | 1,963$1,058 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.65 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 58c | 1,866$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…79d7backed Yes | 78c | 1,838$1,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,441.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 20c | 1,817$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,450.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 38c | 1,809$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.15 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked Yes | 15c | 1,803$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.17 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
- Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.