Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6bb7b47236aafe3cde3389214c31055abaa815b7170d9c12dcbea43b8a884925
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,484
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,158
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,484 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 65c | 9,561$6,194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,366.71 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 41c | 8,203$3,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,332.34 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ca…1705backed Yes | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 22c | 2,229$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.9 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6291…cc47backed Yes | 32c | 2,200$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.99 | 244 | 33.2%81 W · 163 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc78e…4718backed Yes | 39c | 2,117$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.77 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked No | 76c | 1,536$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.71 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,246$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked No | 68c | 751$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.32 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 79c | 679.99$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a8…2fb3backed Yes | 23c | 647.39$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.44 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 18c | 545.6$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 22c | 473$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.06 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 391.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.13 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1ac6backed Yes | 16c | 375$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked Yes | 18c | 358.18$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.34 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 7c | 335$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 63 | 22.2%14 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb12e…8c6cbacked No | 72c | 331$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.9 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9e…4f1abacked No | 64c | 329$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.96 | 228 | 33.8%77 W · 151 L | +13.7wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…1c4ebacked Yes | 16c | 299$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.28per pick | 41cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 72c | 295.22$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.24 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 18c | 288.95$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.13 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 62c | 255.87$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.65 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 239.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.38 | 183 | 10.4%19 W · 164 L | -9.7wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked Yes | 11c | 237.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.17 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 13c | 232.17$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b49…2e46backed No | 68c | 224.25$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbd…1288backed No | 67c | 220$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.6 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f44…7470backed Yes | 29c | 218.8$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.09 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c41…133ebacked No | 70c | 208.89$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.67 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32f6…9538backed Yes | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 28c | 188$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.17 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 7c | 185$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 104 | 2.9%3 W · 101 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed No | 79c | 182$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e3…67dcbacked Yes | 6c | 172.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed No | 69c | 171.02$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.44 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 74c | 149.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.32 | 211 | 55.9%118 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 78c | 147$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x936e…473fbacked No | 68c | 145.15$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked No | 78c | 144$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcceb…f030backed No | 78c | 140$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 205 | 42%86 W · 119 L | -11.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf143…4ef2backed No | 68c | 137.19$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 17c | 120.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.48 | 47 | 23.4%11 W · 36 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 9c | 119.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.59 | 81 | 6.2%5 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11f8…ed31backed Yes | 33c | 114$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +168.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ac…f23dbacked Yes | 33c | 102.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.97 | 87 | 41.4%36 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a2…c9b6backed Yes | 32c | 100$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdbf…1926backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 272 | 22.1%60 W · 212 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 80c | 93.67$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8a6…c13fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb8…43b4backed Yes | 42c | 87.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a6…3d19backed No | 72c | 83.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 77c | 83.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 341 | 29.3%100 W · 241 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…f3c8backed No | 68c | 74.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.99 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedc3…023dbacked Yes | 32c | 71.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 30c | 66.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 74c | 65.09$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 669 | 14.8%99 W · 570 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -66%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 76c | 64$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 248 | 61.7%153 W · 95 L | +24.3wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Yes | 30c | 64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7034…9edebacked Yes | 32c | 61.53$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f3…eca5backed No | 75c | 59$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 18c | 58.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf33e…0ab8backed Yes | 33c | 54.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e8…4878backed Yes | 29c | 54.63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…ecf3backed Yes | 28c | 54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c26…6e31backed No | 72c | 54$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…ea5cbacked No | 66c | 53.47$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa58b…ef84backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -4.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…89d2backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764a…83d3backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 32cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa86f…022cbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe457…5ab3backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…fa0bbacked Yes | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…468fbacked Yes | 32c | 49.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 85 | 41.2%35 W · 50 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 30c | 48.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 133 | 17.3%23 W · 110 L | -10.0wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd949…0b05backed No | 78c | 47.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cd…c0aebacked No | 70c | 47.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 63cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5566…7c29backed No | 59c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa784…3605backed Yes | 27c | 45.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.54 | 62 | 21%13 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 69c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 26c | 45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eda…6e19backed Yes | 41c | 44.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x747b…a2d4backed Yes | 41c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.84 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 35c | 41.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd83a…f4e7backed Yes | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d8…af42backed No | 69c | 40.19$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…a8bbbacked Yes | 26c | 40.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6c…ee14backed No | 72c | 40$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 39.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf05…33e2backed No | 72c | 39.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f0…610cbacked No | 59c | 33.89$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.89 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07bb…fccabacked No | 68c | 29.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked No | 68c | 28.41$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.09 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…deb4backed No | 65c | 26.54$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…3d0fbacked No | 68c | 24.31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f18…dc6dbacked No | 70c | 19.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…4463backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?this page
- Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?Yes won
- Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Joel Brennan win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Kelda Roys win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
- Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.