TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa784…3605

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
25
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Tweets, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 54 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT6221%13 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick25cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.81
Will Kendall Qualls win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.03
Will Angie Craig be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.94
Will Peggy Flanagan be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Minnesota?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.4
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will Jerri Green win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.94
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+312.2%+$46.25
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will Christina Hines be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+920%+$128.98
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+233.7%+$31.79
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.78
Will Cindy Holscher win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+270.9%+$38.08
Will Jeremy Moss be the Democratic nominee for MI-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.2
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Al Mina be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will David Williams be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Will Frank F. Blas Jr. win the 2026 Guam Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.31
Will Jay Feely be the Republican nominee for AZ-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.9
Will Phil Weiser win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+421.1%+$84.85
Will Michael Bennet win the 2026 Colorado Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+367%+$152.49
Will Manny Rutinel be the Democratic nominee for CO-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will Janak Joshi be the Republican nominee for Senate in Colorado?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.91
Will Ben McAdams be the Democratic nominee for UT-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.64
Will Ed Hale win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.05
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
IPO — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.96
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.87
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 2.00T and 2.25T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.75T and 2.00T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$38.7
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.68
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+89.9%+$30.29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$8.24
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+68.3%+$33.45
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+45.3%+$4.68
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.87
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+80.3%+$25.14
All 12 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+358.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Koreabacked South Korea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,063.64
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+49.3%+$10.74
Will Páfos FC win on 2025-11-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+28.2%+$84.62
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 9, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.3
No one announced as next James Bond?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Epstein Data Set 13 be released by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.75
Will Trump visit China by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$2,122Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,122.29
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atlas FC vs. Querétaro FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Falkirk FC vs. St Mirren FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$14.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NCAA Tournament: No. 15 seed to pull off an upset?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Nov 8, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$423Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+31.6%+$133.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Monad market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 25, 2025, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Josh Allen x Hailee Steinfeld baby: Boy or Girl?backed Boy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sydney FC vs. Newcastle United Jets FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Midtjylland vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.61
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.