Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74efaa758c3c08921bd143b0a1696b54890834d073fc6df01dfb75f6f4e38528
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,550
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $315,072
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,550 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c8c…e36fbacked No | 69c | 53,019$36,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,529.13 | 15 | 86.7%13 W · 2 L | +5.2wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed Yes | 31c | 50,653$15,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,897.13 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 0c | 33,255$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.25 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…0288backed No | 64c | 31,543$20,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,373.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.14per pick | 37cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 46c | 16,723$7,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,688.97 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 4c | 15,461$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.28 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc970…b063backed Yes | 1c | 15,454$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.91 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes | 35c | 13,757$4,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,746.71 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c8…73cebacked No | 48c | 12,100$5,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,254.85 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 49cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…5f4bbacked No | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,599.99 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c14…0869backed Yes | 40c | 8,764$3,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,490.79 | 107 | 40.2%43 W · 64 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…ef76backed Yes | 44c | 8,152$3,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,623.27 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…adc0backed No | 66c | 7,182$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,442.02 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xecaa…77a9backed Yes | 31c | 7,028$2,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,171.26 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x413f…47f3backed Yes | 32c | 6,895$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,230.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd86d…648dbacked No | 65c | 6,005$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,072.42 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked No | 70c | 5,548$3,871 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677.09 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +18.5wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes | 34c | 5,509$1,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,867.88 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc1…8db4backed No | 69c | 5,437$3,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.31 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Yes | 37c | 5,370$1,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960.52 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 28cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 68c | 5,116$3,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,648.79 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Yes | 35c | 5,000$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes | 34c | 5,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1181…9e90backed Yes | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Yes | 46c | 4,212$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.53 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed Yes | 36c | 3,661$1,323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,322.55 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb97…eee8backed Yes | 45c | 3,500$1,570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.08 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1682…26cabacked Yes | 32c | 3,408$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.34 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Yes | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 67c | 2,904$1,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.15 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…1245backed No | 66c | 2,845$1,878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$967.35 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 41c | 2,222$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.97 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb24…ac2cbacked No | 69c | 2,174$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.37 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 53c | 2,124$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.06 | 154 | 31.2%48 W · 106 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07ee…8dfebacked Yes | 20c | 2,006$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.08 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +8.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x819f…f3e7backed No | 65c | 1,966$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.71 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 22cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x225b…422abacked Yes | 14c | 1,942$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.39 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 26cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fee…ed5ebacked No | 71c | 1,927$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.23 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 60c | 1,889$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 58c | 1,864$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.99 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32fd…5c8bbacked Yes | 56c | 1,702$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.9 | 36 | 30.6%11 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 1,685$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.07 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce06…9a1ebacked Yes | 44c | 1,628$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.23 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 44c | 1,581$701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.54 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 1,520$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.97 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed No | 51c | 1,512$766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 57c | 1,470$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.52 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3080…337bbacked Yes | 54c | 1,433$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.03 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e5…b3a5backed No | 72c | 1,326$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.37 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39a5…87f2backed Yes | 34c | 1,315$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.96 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b7…2e99backed Yes | 32c | 1,283$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…f125backed Yes | 32c | 1,262$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.88 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 65c | 1,221$797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.47 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 7c | 1,202$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 83 | 32.5%27 W · 56 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 45c | 1,187$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.44 | 180 | 41.1%74 W · 106 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Yes | 25c | 1,050$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 3c | 1,039$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90bf…3348backed Yes | 29c | 1,035$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7131…29ccbacked No | 75c | 1,031$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe63e…e500backed Yes | 35c | 1,015$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Yes | 57c | 1,008$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae79…b9e0backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccc…edb7backed Yes | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2200…0f2dbacked No | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22e…18f2backed Yes | 32c | 963.43$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.3 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x598e…9d4fbacked Yes | 32c | 937.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 39c | 926.35$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.68 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7818…d185backed No | 61c | 898.98$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…efeebacked No | 38c | 777$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.63 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f37…1410backed Yes | 59c | 750$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.5 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked No | 69c | 750$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 71c | 727.44$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.27 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…a0efbacked Yes | 51c | 721.57$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.24 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 33c | 702.94$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 45c | 700$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.32 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 68c | 696.66$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.93 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…492cbacked No | 64c | 664.23$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.27 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 73c | 655.51$476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.5 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b13…5957backed Yes | 31c | 650$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -59%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…7b02backed No | 69c | 639.94$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.22 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 65c | 633.89$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.01 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…f8b4backed Yes | 57c | 631.84$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.38 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.21per pick | 37cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…484abacked Yes | 38c | 629.79$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.32 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9912…4f03backed Yes | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b69…3c3cbacked Yes | 34c | 620.71$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +69%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a53…7a6fbacked Yes | 35c | 600$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4405…6a37backed Yes | 44c | 567.11$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 56c | 557.01$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.23 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaf…ee69backed Yes | 37c | 530$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 32c | 513.98$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.47 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 49c | 500$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.33 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb59…0a22backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2282…73e8backed No | 44c | 499.98$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.99 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 42c | 484.34$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.01 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…13d1backed Yes | 33c | 468.03$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe32b…626ebacked No | 40c | 454.75$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.36 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1547…d066backed No | 43c | 450$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…9654backed Yes | 36c | 438$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8373…f0bcbacked No | 43c | 432.36$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.45 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Cori Bush be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?this page
- Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.