TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6998…9ff2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: World Politics, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT4126.8%11 W · 30 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-16.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 41 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+515%+$592.24
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+202%+$34.35
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$15.52
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Colombia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.86
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.19
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will France win on 2026-06-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.18
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$56.58
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Showing 25 of 41 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.19per pick17cpaid+25.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$781Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$781
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+270.4%+$363.93
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Israel strikes Syria by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.05
Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$47.5
Israel military action against Iran before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+311%+$31.78
Will Israel raid Greta Thunberg's ship by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$19.11
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2024, EDT+203.5%+$27.33
Israeli forces enters Lebanon in September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 3, 2024, EDT+375%+$165.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L+3.1wins+0.24per pick30cpaid+67.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$979Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+50.1%+$491
Starmer out in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 5–10%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$129
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 0–5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira win by 10–15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.97
Will Rodrigo Paz win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,567Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT+42%+$1,499.85
Will HRPP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.89
Will SUP win the most seats in the 2025 Samoa Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.08
Will Andrónico Rodríguez qualify for Bolivia’s presidential runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$150.58
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$4,028Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+318.4%+$12,824.88
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$2,201Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+373.4%+$8,218.68
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2025, EDT+54.9%+$142.78
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$4,959Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT+28.9%+$1,433.61
All 13 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1020%2 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump's approval rating hit 40% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,710Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+59.5%+$1,611.34
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$420Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$419.95
Will Trump's approval rating be between 45.5% and 45.9% on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.6
US military action on Yemen before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+724.7%+$604.07
US military action on Yemen by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D Housebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2024, EST-100%-$166
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$15
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 5-14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2024, EST-100%-$13.6
All 10 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+53.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid-17.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 1, 2025, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+23.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick26cpaid+180.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.81
India ODI Series: India vs South Africa (Game 2)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST+477.1%+$238.53
Will Australia win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+163.2%+$163.16
All 3 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+61.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$1,021Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+222.8%+$2,274.34
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$176.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Turkey win the 2025 EuroBasket Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$388.74
Euro Basket: Latvia vs Turkeybacked Turkey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cubs vs. Giantsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$196.8
Red Sox vs. Oriolesbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 28, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$152
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$360
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine hold Kursk through 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$18.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Dec 31, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.5%+$58.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Quarterfinals - Canada vs. Czechiabacked Czechia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$1,225
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.