Us Politics · resolved market
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x861c309ae1ea92e3b68e6454eb2ff9607f982b09ac7d12d1ece64c51660fcc78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,308
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $319,129
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,308 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x07d4…8991backed Yes | 5c | 12,491$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.87 | 129 | 10.9%14 W · 115 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 6c | 11,176$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.6 | 283 | 20.5%58 W · 225 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 8c | 9,784$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.8 | 333 | 13.2%44 W · 289 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…fa1dbacked Yes | 24c | 7,561$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.39 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8600…ff1dbacked Yes | 9c | 7,123$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.95 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x873b…dd51backed Yes | 25c | 5,934$1,469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,469.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa4…5bc6backed Yes | 6c | 5,542$354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$354.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +194.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 7c | 5,175$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.99 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdde1…ea9bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,112$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.19 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +8.7wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb100…6461backed Yes | 16c | 4,439$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.86 | 178 | 50%89 W · 89 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b7…30c2backed Yes | 10c | 4,381$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb64e…9379backed Yes | 16c | 3,668$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x419d…7817backed Yes | 6c | 3,651$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed Yes | 11c | 3,594$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.04 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed Yes | 6c | 3,432$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.37 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | +10.9wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6998…9ff2backed Yes | 14c | 3,052$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.95 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb02e…25e5backed Yes | 5c | 2,915$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.54 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1f…34cbbacked Yes | 14c | 2,796$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 17c | 2,479$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedc0…99f3backed Yes | 15c | 2,436$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.65 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 2,301$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.31 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Yes | 23c | 2,278$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.57 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 11c | 2,271$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.02 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed Yes | 3c | 2,178$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 87 | 50.6%44 W · 43 L | +10.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x92f4…0f69backed Yes | 5c | 2,153$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Yes | 15c | 2,040$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.21 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 12c | 2,008$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.93 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 102 | 11.8%12 W · 90 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -72.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc738…a9c8backed Yes | 5c | 1,834$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbe…8fb9backed Yes | 5c | 1,821$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…884dbacked Yes | 6c | 1,808$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.25 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb186…f965backed Yes | 4c | 1,787$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x943f…43a7backed Yes | 6c | 1,708$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 38cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a50…0f91backed Yes | 5c | 1,673$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Yes | 10c | 1,566$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.63 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +9.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc018…018abacked Yes | 14c | 1,530$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -3.6wins | -0.27per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 4c | 1,507$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 185 | 16.2%30 W · 155 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked Yes | 7c | 1,411$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.23per pick | 39cpaid | +209.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed Yes | 7c | 1,393$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.63 | 355 | 19.7%70 W · 285 L | -16.3wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cdd…3e97backed Yes | 13c | 1,320$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.92 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,251$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.88 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 76c | 1,136$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.02 | 137 | 14.6%20 W · 117 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab9…a08dbacked No | 70c | 1,111$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.19 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +12.8wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4a79…304fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…b8a8backed Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.79 | 43 | 23.3%10 W · 33 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9d…f9febacked Yes | 2c | 1,005$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66a1…80d9backed Yes | 4c | 1,005$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.76 | 80 | 15%12 W · 68 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd0…bc3dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f50…1fb6backed Yes | 12c | 1,000$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb3d…79c4backed Yes | 6c | 937.53$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd811…8d43backed Yes | 6c | 922.46$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d2…0bf8backed Yes | 6c | 864.73$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.33 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b41…5dedbacked Yes | 14c | 853.04$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -58.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 10c | 818.5$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.01 | 377 | 40.6%153 W · 224 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d9…fc76backed Yes | 4c | 800$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 781.73$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 1,136 | 6.3%72 W · 1,064 L | -25.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked Yes | 4c | 750$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde23…67f0backed Yes | 12c | 726.15$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e1…7265backed Yes | 5c | 710$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 108 | 34.3%37 W · 71 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…5fa9backed Yes | 12c | 673.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.45 | 71 | 19.7%14 W · 57 L | -8.6wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf541…5505backed Yes | 8c | 655.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 6cpaid | +143.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…a660backed Yes | 16c | 618.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a64…9f01backed Yes | 8c | 615.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +83.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8032…7c6cbacked Yes | 12c | 601.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.94 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c8…8fa9backed Yes | 8c | 600$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddd…722dbacked No | 80c | 560.18$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.67 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f5…a0b1backed Yes | 4c | 548.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…10d3backed Yes | 12c | 526.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e6…67b5backed Yes | 5c | 525.07$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f93…e7a5backed Yes | 19c | 520.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5dd…7564backed Yes | 11c | 515$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 39cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b8…03a0backed Yes | 20c | 510.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…24a6backed Yes | 10c | 509.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +162.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1707…081ebacked Yes | 5c | 503.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 73c | 500$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.97 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9882…c4ccbacked Yes | 34c | 497.06$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd511…241cbacked Yes | 7c | 483.82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.72 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 7cpaid | +19%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd460…c6efbacked Yes | 4c | 474.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc057…ce21backed Yes | 7c | 447.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 4c | 430$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 556 | 18.5%103 W · 453 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked No | 76c | 425$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.56 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.9wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b83…905ebacked Yes | 13c | 399.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -66%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 9c | 399.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8d…5a27backed Yes | 6c | 392.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.82 | 215 | 4.2%9 W · 206 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f67…f49abacked Yes | 10c | 389.36$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c39…505ebacked Yes | 13c | 371.95$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…4f68backed Yes | 4c | 367.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…a69ebacked Yes | 15c | 357$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 9cpaid | +72.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d12…bdf6backed Yes | 13c | 353$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.51 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab8…93d1backed Yes | 6c | 346.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b80…cdf9backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 23.1%9 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed No | 74c | 333$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.24 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2d…dbcbbacked Yes | 9c | 330.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab07…e6f1backed Yes | 3c | 320$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…3ef8backed Yes | 12c | 310.79$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb137…f949backed Yes | 10c | 310.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 12c | 300$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.67 | 196 | 38.8%76 W · 120 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01b…e951backed Yes | 15c | 299.59$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.48 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc434…f25ebacked Yes | 5c | 293.53$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 25cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.