TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xab07…e6f1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
548
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 56 out of 100; worst Ukraine at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weatherlast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT47417.9%85 W · 389 L+13.3wins+0.03per pick15cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 474 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on August 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.71
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.74
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on July 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.72
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.73
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on June 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.29
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on May 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.7
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.13
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on May 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on May 25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+1,026%+$124.1
Will the highest temperature in London be 10°C on May 14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.64
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 80-81°F on May 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 60-61°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+3,042.4%+$350.98
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.2
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 66-67°F on May 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on May 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on May 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 58-59°F on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.91
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.57
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.09
Showing 25 of 474 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick22cpaid+87.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.45
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$399.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.71
Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.96
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.54
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$96
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+400%+$99.99
Will LLA hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+1,566.7%+$376
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Will the Party for Freedom win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27.39
Will People's Party for Freedom and Democracy win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$40.98
Will GreenLeft–Labour win the most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.51
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT+443.9%+$134.67
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 4-8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.16
Will Karol Nawrocki win by over 8%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.83
Will Karol Nawrocki win by 0-4%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$75.99
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.44
Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT+351.1%+$788.72
All 21 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2045%9 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-15.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Dan Bongino leave the Trump administration in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 17, 2025, EST+53.8%+$28
Will Eric Adams endorse Cuomo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+300%+$300
Will U.S. National debt surpass $38 trillion in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$10.3
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.39
Will Eric Adams drop out?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$71.99
Will Elon Musk endorse the Big Beautiful Bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.19
Pam Bondi out as Attorney General in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.95
Will Trump release more Epstein files before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.18
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$249Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+43%+$107.04
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+49.6%+$67.34
Will Trump say "George Washington" during his 4th of July remarks?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$72.5
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+124.8%+$79.44
Will Trump say "Million / Billion / Trillion" 7+ times during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.74
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$278.34
Will Iran strike a U.S. facility by Monday June  23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT+49.4%+$53.24
US military action against Iran by Sunday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$205.2
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$244.65
Will Elon apologize to Trump by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.97
U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$265.04
All 20 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.13
Will Trump say "Russia" or "Ukraine" 15+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$53.99
Will Trump say "Hottest Country" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$46.79
Will Trump say "Marco" or "Rubio" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$42.99
Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 12+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$252
Will Trump say "Putin" 5+ times during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+40.8%+$39.19
Will Trump say "Pakistan" during Zelensky events on August 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+150%+$300
Will Trump and Putin shake hands for 10 seconds or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+455.6%+$114.8
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$50.92
Will Trump sign mineral deal without Zelenskyy apology?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.4
All 12 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-41.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.30per pick37cpaid+97.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$15.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$17.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 2, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Natus Vincere vs. Karmine Corpbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 25, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sea/Air ceasefire in Ukraine before May? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.05
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.