Middle East · resolved market
Iran strike on Qatar today?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09aba9474829b72bcec8390c78f051cf327614af44827b98070a073fa75dab1b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $862,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $829,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $862,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 689 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x770e…7640backed No | 11c | 29,622$3,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,232.32 | 206 | 17%35 W · 171 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes | 72c | 27,469$19,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,779.35 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…9de0backed No | 0c | 26,420$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.42 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d6…d716backed Yes | 75c | 16,000$12,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,000 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe281…e7bfbacked No | 15c | 14,975$2,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,308.14 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…9e88backed No | 10c | 10,600$1,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,060 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -26%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b4…df9fbacked Yes | 48c | 10,071$4,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,188.6 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 60c | 9,894$5,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,973.25 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -8.4wins | -0.14per pick | 41cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbf12…d81cbacked Yes | 71c | 9,876$7,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,864.05 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e9c…cd75backed No | 41c | 7,544$3,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,062.74 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…1dd0backed No | 10c | 7,464$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.97 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0375…c7debacked No | 18c | 7,415$1,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.53 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -45%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 2c | 6,669$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.05 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -65.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 77c | 6,641$5,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,559.09 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 28c | 6,498$1,810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,688.48 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7609…05cfbacked No | 12c | 6,166$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed No | 41c | 6,155$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,552.35 | 81 | 50.6%41 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb6…8f5dbacked No | 20c | 5,816$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.62 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed No | 28c | 5,665$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.71 | 65 | 16.9%11 W · 54 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked No | 27c | 5,412$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444.31 | 358 | 19%68 W · 290 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0d4…1f38backed No | 29c | 5,329$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Yes | 49c | 5,306$2,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,686.4 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…fd20backed Yes | 25c | 5,203$1,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,922.56 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac22…5442backed No | 63c | 5,163$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec2…aebbbacked Yes | 47c | 4,957$2,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,604.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +110.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 52c | 4,901$2,556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,344.8 | 511 | 38.7%198 W · 313 L | +18.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…a469backed No | 37c | 4,866$1,813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,813.14 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed No | 37c | 4,842$1,773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.56 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed No | 10c | 4,822$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.31 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d2…8731backed Yes | 77c | 4,745$3,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 41c | 4,594$1,882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,881.93 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.5wins | -0.45per pick | 55cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed Yes | 59c | 4,585$2,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,892.21 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x230d…6a7cbacked No | 22c | 4,385$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551e…b0e0backed No | 61c | 4,304$2,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,607.46 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6627…898bbacked Yes | 34c | 4,119$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,738.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 74c | 3,947$2,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.91 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…7693backed No | 10c | 3,898$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed No | 55c | 3,514$1,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.09 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…ef5fbacked Yes | 46c | 3,500$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,874.66 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed No | 28c | 3,500$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.99 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f33…c1febacked No | 17c | 3,425$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.57 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed81…bd47backed No | 24c | 3,392$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 16c | 3,371$531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.99 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09bb…f8b1backed Yes | 76c | 3,270$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.9 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ee…ec14backed Yes | 76c | 3,264$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.02 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bf…ddafbacked Yes | 50c | 3,264$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.65 | 156 | 26.9%42 W · 114 L | -10.6wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed No | 29c | 3,159$917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$917 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Yes | 73c | 3,033$2,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819.02 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fad…f5c0backed No | 14c | 3,025$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +9.1wins | +0.25per pick | 36cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f6…527ebacked No | 29c | 3,005$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8468…10c2backed Yes | 24c | 2,854$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,178.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 11cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1955…aef1backed No | 24c | 2,849$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07d4…8991backed No | 2c | 2,820$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 96 | 4.2%4 W · 92 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…1925backed No | 21c | 2,736$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.35per pick | 50cpaid | +63.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x843a…8070backed No | 25c | 2,619$648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$648.35 | 60 | 23.3%14 W · 46 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7345…87cfbacked No | 20c | 2,532$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…81d1backed Yes | 79c | 2,515$1,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.33 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2988…7121backed No | 15c | 2,489$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 71c | 2,486$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.98 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf55…de06backed No | 14c | 2,479$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa43c…563ebacked No | 24c | 2,425$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.06 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 18cpaid | -63%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…f845backed No | 12c | 2,306$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.39 | 44 | 29.5%13 W · 31 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062d…fe4cbacked No | 12c | 2,295$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…ae70backed No | 38c | 2,292$875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$875 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdc…0b6abacked No | 11c | 2,282$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed No | 11c | 2,250$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaece…b156backed No | 10c | 2,234$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb81…1cf3backed No | 14c | 2,214$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +8.6wins | +0.16per pick | 14cpaid | +154.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 14c | 2,214$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.54 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc491…cad7backed No | 22c | 2,205$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa571…6282backed No | 1c | 2,197$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1a…52f0backed No | 44c | 2,138$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa999…203cbacked No | 9c | 2,111$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked Yes | 39c | 2,020$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.14 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…d801backed No | 11c | 2,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 148 | 27%40 W · 108 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…bbb2backed No | 1c | 2,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…4201backed No | 12c | 2,000$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked No | 22c | 1,977$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.97 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb250…6e1abacked Yes | 32c | 1,950$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,328.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 17cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf513…8297backed No | 26c | 1,942$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.88 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…c87cbacked No | 16c | 1,935$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.56 | 235 | 25.5%60 W · 175 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d9…e4eebacked Yes | 53c | 1,897$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$898.04 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfeb…c3c2backed No | 67c | 1,807$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7d…6020backed No | 25c | 1,767$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7525…3b1bbacked Yes | 44c | 1,759$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31b5…9474backed No | 11c | 1,747$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.14 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69c2…efc0backed Yes | 40c | 1,721$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed No | 3c | 1,720$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0db4…d1d3backed No | 37c | 1,700$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.93 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b81…c650backed Yes | 59c | 1,667$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ee…0ababacked Yes | 47c | 1,600$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.89 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3167…679ebacked Yes | 26c | 1,600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,179.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 10cpaid | +245.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0fa…0a56backed Yes | 78c | 1,597$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…c8e7backed No | 38c | 1,597$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1272…f85dbacked No | 23c | 1,560$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.04 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…66b8backed No | 25c | 1,552$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…3186backed No | 5c | 1,545$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc0…4353backed No | 50c | 1,517$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.32 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf55…ba75backed No | 14c | 1,466$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…b07abacked No | 11c | 1,463$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 24cpaid | -77.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.