TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf00a…c77c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
131
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Ukraine, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Ukraine at 60 out of 100; worst Music at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST4753.2%25 W · 22 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 47 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+26.6%+$26.58
Israel strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+100%+$500
Israel strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$526Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+33%+$173.6
EU sanctions on Israel by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+100%+$50
Israel strikes Gaza by October 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$284.19
Israel strike on Yemen by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$670Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+96.4%+$645.96
Will Hamas release any more hostages by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$37.5
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$2,118Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,118.26
Israel strike on Yemen by October 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT+193.5%+$120.5
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla on September 30 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.91
Will Israel not raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.4
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+97.2%+$33.45
Qatar strike on Israel by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+37.7%+$26
Will Israel raid Gaza aid flotilla by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$1,409Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,409.34
Israel strikes Iran by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$10
Israel strike on Yemen by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.85
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 24 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,802Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT+50.6%+$911.37
Israel strike on Yemen by September 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,585Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT+62.2%+$985.37
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 16 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$2,548Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+43%+$1,094.99
Israel strike on Yemen by September 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$138
Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$63.86
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,862Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT+50%+$931.11
Will Saudi Arabia airdrop aid into Gaza?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.8
Will US airdrop aid into Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$11
Will Israel airdrop aid into Gaza?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+809.1%+$97.88
Showing 25 of 47 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT3863.2%24 W · 14 L+5.8wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 38 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,429
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+69.5%+$41
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$3,069Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+118%+$3,621.89
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.98
Ukraine strike on Moscow municipality by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+76.7%+$29.38
Ukraine Tomahawk missile strike by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.6%+$31.84
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+33.3%+$21.01
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$360.5
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+29.4%+$37.34
More EU sanctions on Russia by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$41.72
NATO downs another Russian drone by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$80.77
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,761Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,761.13
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12.11
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in September?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Ukraine hits Moscow by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$41.25
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$552
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$169Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+28.4%+$48.02
Successful Ukrainian counterattack in Donbass?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$861Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+87.5%+$753.53
Will Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$150
Will Trump meet with Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$129.69
Will Trump call Putin “strong” on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+196.4%+$457
Will Trump meet with Putin by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+350.5%+$460.59
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$702Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$701.94
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Will Trump increase sanctions on Russia by August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$81.4
Showing 25 of 38 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 3, 2025, EST-100%-$52
Will Trump meet with Jerome Powell in October?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$24.6
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Will Trump talk to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$14
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$290
Will Trump talk to Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+82.4%+$14
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.67
Will Trump meet with Putin in Alaska on August 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,527Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,526.83
Will Trump talk to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$72
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.6
US-Iran nuclear deal before August?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$27.51
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$63.84
Trump x Epstein files made public in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$353Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$352.51
US-Iran nuclear deal before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$261Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$240.53
Trump renames Persian Gulf to "Arabian Gulf" in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+90.7%+$17.23
Trump EO implementing “most favored nation” drug pricing by next Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+105.2%+$653.73
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Six Kings Slam?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,232Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+109.2%+$1,344.96
Six Kings Slam: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinnerbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,258Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,258
Laver Cup: Alexander Zverev vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT+150%+$42
Will Novak Djokovic win a Grand Slam tournament in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Will Corentin Moutet win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$57.42
French Open: Alcaraz vs. Sinner backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$133.74
French Open: Zverev vs. Djokovicbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$145.11
Will Jannik Sinner reach the quarterfinals of the French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$306
All 9 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2025, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+25.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 1, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 8, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebron announce final season Tuesday? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 8, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$92
Will Lebron announce marketing stunt Tuesday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+66.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$120
Will Trump attend F1 Miami GP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+50.4%+$13.61
All 2 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi Jinping talk before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$77.35
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+90.6%+$170.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 6, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+73.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by August 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$646Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2025, EDT+73.8%+$477.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Earthquake 7.0 or above in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.